# Morocco’s phosphate supply draws attention as fertilizer prices shift  - Milling Middle East & Africa Magazine - No.1 Grains Industry Magazine & Website for Africa & the Middle East

> Fitch expects ammonia near $375/t and urea near $420/t in 2026, up from earlier estimates, due to energy disruption from the Hormuz closure. It sees phosphate rock stable near $150/t FOB Morocco.

- Date: 2026-03-18 · published 2026-03-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20475-morocco-s-phosphate-supply-draws-attention-as-fertilizer-prices-shift-milling
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md)

## Why it matters

The nitrogen price upgrade raises fertilizer costs for feed grain producers, while steady phosphate supports the view that Morocco-linked phosphate supply is less affected.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-03-17 | [Morocco phosphate sector remains stable as global fertilizer costs rise](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20476-morocco-phosphate-sector-remains-stable-as-global-fertilizer-costs-rise.md) | +3.3% | +19.6% |
| UREA | 2025-02-21 | [Friday’s Insider: Urea and gas prices — market in transition — Fertilizer Daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26365-friday-s-insider-urea-and-gas-prices-market-in-transition-fertilizer-daily.md) | -0.5% | -4.7% |
| UREA | 2022-04-06 | [Nitrogen Fertilizer Prices and Supply in Light of the Ukraine-Russia Conflict - farmdoc daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42133-nitrogen-fertilizer-prices-and-supply-in-light-of-the-ukraine-russia-conflict.md) | -3.9% | -24.2% |
| UREA | 2021-08-27 | [Supply Lines Latest: Global Inflation Is Coming for Fertilizer - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6007-supply-lines-latest-global-inflation-is-coming-for-fertilizer-bloomberg.md) | +10.6% | +24.4% |
| UREA | 2021-11-22 | [Fertilizer prices continue to increase with no top in sight \| Quality Farm Supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8139-fertilizer-prices-continue-to-increase-with-no-top-in-sight-quality-farm-supply.md) | +6.4% | -1.2% |

## Sources

- millingmea.com: https://millingmea.com/moroccos-phosphate-supply-draws-attention-as-fertilizer-prices-shift/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.