# China pork market: production up, imports down | AHDB

> China's pork production rose 4.1% in 2025 to 59 million tonnes, while average pig prices fell 15% to 14.49 yuan/kg. Beijing plans to reduce output in 2026, with the sow herd expected to fall to 39 million head.

- Date: 2026-03-04 · published 2026-03-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region China · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20147-china-pork-market-production-up-imports-down-ahdb
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Chinese pork output and a shrinking sow herd reduce hog feed demand over time, a bearish signal for feed grains and meal, while lower imports reduce demand for offal and related feed inputs.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- HOGS: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2017-06-08 | [China's May inflation expected to rise as food price decline narrows - Chinadaily.com.cn](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70488-china-s-may-inflation-expected-to-rise-as-food-price-decline-narrows-chinadaily.md) | +2.4% | +13.2% |
| HOGS | 2023-04-18 | [2023 U.S. pork profitability banks upon many factors](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36550-2023-u-s-pork-profitability-banks-upon-many-factors.md) | +4.3% | +12.5% |
| HOGS | 2023-09-28 | [China’s ailing pork demand another sign of economic distress \| FMT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34095-china-s-ailing-pork-demand-another-sign-of-economic-distress-fmt.md) | -2.5% | -13.6% |
| HOGS | 2023-10-03 | [Livestock Lowdown: Tuesday Closing Livestock Market Update - Economic Pressure Sends Complex Plummeting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10394-livestock-lowdown-tuesday-closing-livestock-market-update-economic-pressure.md) | +0.2% | -10.0% |
| HOGS | 2020-04-07 | [Coronavirus Sends Crop and Livestock Prices into a Tailspin \| Farm Bureau Intel Markets \| American Farm Bureau Federation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5743-coronavirus-sends-crop-and-livestock-prices-into-a-tailspin-farm-bureau-intel.md) | -1.8% | +35.8% |
| SBM | 2017-05-16 | [Obstacles in Asia impact world feed production \| Feed Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71007-obstacles-in-asia-impact-world-feed-production-feed-strategy.md) | -1.5% | -3.5% |
| SBM | 2026-03-02 | [Argentine peso down 2.24% on early trading at 1,430 per USD amid global tension: traders \| MarketScreener](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20437-argentine-peso-down-2-24-on-early-trading-at-1-430-per-usd-amid-global-tension.md) | -0.1% | +1.0% |
| SBM | 2024-06-28 | [Brazil's Campos Neto says a lack of confidence in handling of public accounts impacts market prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29987-brazil-s-campos-neto-says-a-lack-of-confidence-in-handling-of-public-accounts.md) | +5.3% | -2.8% |

## Sources

- ahdb.org.uk: https://ahdb.org.uk/news/china-pork-market-imports-decline-amid-increase-in-production

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.