# Chance of 'super El Niño' shouldn't change northern Plains growing season outlook - Agweek | #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets

> North Dakota state climatologist Daryl Ritchison says headlines about a potential 'super El Niño' are overblown and do not change the northern Plains growing season outlook. He points to historical patterns and farm weather records to argue for limited impact.

- Date: 2026-03-23 · published 2026-03-23T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20091-chance-of-super-el-nino-shouldn-t-change-northern-plains-growing-season-outlook
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Expert skepticism about strong El Niño impacts on northern Plains crops reduces the case for a weather premium in spring wheat and corn. The story mainly tempers alarmist headlines rather than adding new supply information.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-03-11 | [Dry weather fueling bulls - Agweek \| #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65958-dry-weather-fueling-bulls-agweek-1-source-for-agriculture-news-farming-markets.md) | -0.4% | +0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2017-11-05 | [Harvest doldrums sink in - Agweek \| #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68014-harvest-doldrums-sink-in-agweek-1-source-for-agriculture-news-farming-markets.md) | +0.2% | +1.9% |
| WHEAT | 2022-10-25 | [Return of rains boost EU grain sowings, but mixed blessing for rapeseed - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39064-return-of-rains-boost-eu-grain-sowings-but-mixed-blessing-for-rapeseed-grain.md) | -5.1% | +3.4% |
| WHEAT | 2017-08-11 | [El Niño Outlook for August 2017](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69374-el-nino-outlook-for-august-2017.md) | +0.3% | -0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2024-07-01 | [El Niño and La Niña: Impact on Global Agriculture and What to Expect Next](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29665-el-nino-and-la-nina-impact-on-global-agriculture-and-what-to-expect-next.md) | +6.6% | -1.3% |
| CORN | 2025-10-16 | [Harvest season in full swing in the Midwest - Agweek \| #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13047-harvest-season-in-full-swing-in-the-midwest-agweek-1-source-for-agriculture.md) | -0.0% | +2.8% |
| CORN | 2024-02-23 | [Markets aren't concerned about weather — yet - Agweek \| #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31592-markets-aren-t-concerned-about-weather-yet-agweek-1-source-for-agriculture-news.md) | +0.1% | +7.0% |
| CORN | 2026-09-25 | [Summer is over, but the weather market isn't - Agweek \| #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12962-summer-is-over-but-the-weather-market-isn-t-agweek-1-source-for-agriculture.md) | -0.3% | -6.1% |

## Sources

- agweek.com: https://www.agweek.com/weather/chance-of-super-el-nino-shouldnt-change-northern-plains-growing-season-outlook

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.