# La Niña has ended, El Nino likely to emerge around August, says Australian Met body - The HinduBusinessLine

> Australia's Bureau of Meteorology says La Niña has ended and neutral conditions will persist until at least autumn. All models forecast warming toward El Niño levels by about August, with some showing thresholds reached as early as May.

- Date: 2026-03-31 · published 2026-03-31T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20090-la-nina-has-ended-el-nino-likely-to-emerge-around-august-says-australian-met
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

El Niño-linked drought risk to Indian monsoon rains and Australian crops would tighten rice, wheat and pulse supply later in the year. Price impact remains a forecast-based premium rather than a current supply loss.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2026-10-27 | [From maize to coffee, El Nino likely to affect various crops across the world - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17051-from-maize-to-coffee-el-nino-likely-to-affect-various-crops-across-the-world.md) | +3.5% | — |
| RICE | 2023-03-10 | [Shadow of El Nino over growth - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36764-shadow-of-el-nino-over-growth-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +8.0% | +3.9% |
| RICE | 2023-05-05 | [‘Developing’ El Nino may hit India’s maize, soya and rice output, says FAO   - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35870-developing-el-nino-may-hit-india-s-maize-soya-and-rice-output-says-fao-the.md) | +1.8% | -0.5% |
| RICE | 2023-02-27 | [What if El Nino materialises in 2023? - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37250-what-if-el-nino-materialises-in-2023-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +1.2% | +6.4% |
| RICE | 2023-03-14 | [Two global weather bodies declare El Nino ‘watch’ - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36759-two-global-weather-bodies-declare-el-nino-watch-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +5.8% | +3.7% |
| WHEAT | 2023-03-14 | [Two global weather bodies declare El Nino ‘watch’ - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36759-two-global-weather-bodies-declare-el-nino-watch-the-hindubusinessline.md) | -2.1% | -6.4% |
| WHEAT | 2021-01-04 | [La Nina to take hold of agri markets in 2021  - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5000-la-nina-to-take-hold-of-agri-markets-in-2021-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +4.0% | +11.0% |
| WHEAT | 2020-09-11 | [La Nina may disrupt global food supply  - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51042-la-nina-may-disrupt-global-food-supply-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +0.7% | +7.9% |

## Sources

- thehindubusinessline.com: https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/la-nina-has-ended-el-nino-likely-to-emerge-around-august-says-australian-met-body/article70806911.ece

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.