# El Niño Threatens Higher Global Temperatures, Crop Disruption This Year - Bloomberg

> US forecasters say El Niño is favored to emerge in the Pacific by September, with the Climate Prediction Center assigning a 62% chance. The shift could raise global temperatures and disrupt crops in the coming months.

- Date: 2026-03-12 · published 2026-03-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20085-el-nino-threatens-higher-global-temperatures-crop-disruption-this-year-bloomberg
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

El Niño raises the risk of drought in Australia, India, Southeast Asia and parts of South America, which can tighten grain and oilseed supplies later in 2026. Markets may add a weather premium, but the impact is months away.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-04-09 | [Rising Odds of Strong El Niño Point to Global Weather and Crop Impacts - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19631-rising-odds-of-strong-el-nino-point-to-global-weather-and-crop-impacts-bloomberg.md) | +0.9% | +1.5% |
| CORN | 2026-05-14 | [El Niño Likely to Develop, Threatening Crop Yields and Fueling Storm Concerns - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19188-el-nino-likely-to-develop-threatening-crop-yields-and-fueling-storm-concerns.md) | -0.4% | -7.9% |
| CORN | 2026-05-21 | [Transition to El Nino signals drought relief, but global crop disruption looms - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12995-transition-to-el-nino-signals-drought-relief-but-global-crop-disruption-looms.md) | -1.7% | -7.1% |
| CORN | 2025-01-09 | [La Niña Emerges in Pacific Triggering Global Weather Changes - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26406-la-nina-emerges-in-pacific-triggering-global-weather-changes-bloomberg.md) | +4.1% | +5.7% |
| CORN | 2026-05-05 | [Corn Futures Hold Near Year-High on Strong Export Demand, Supply Risks - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19269-corn-futures-hold-near-year-high-on-strong-export-demand-supply-risks-bloomberg.md) | -0.3% | -2.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-14 | [El Niño Likely to Develop, Threatening Crop Yields and Fueling Storm Concerns - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19188-el-nino-likely-to-develop-threatening-crop-yields-and-fueling-storm-concerns.md) | +0.7% | -4.2% |
| WHEAT | 2023-01-10 | [What is El Niño, and how does it affect the weather and temperatures?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37701-what-is-el-nino-and-how-does-it-affect-the-weather-and-temperatures.md) | -0.6% | +1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-01 | [Record global temperatures possible as chance of a 'super El Niño' grows](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19192-record-global-temperatures-possible-as-chance-of-a-super-el-nino-grows.md) | -2.6% | -1.5% |

## Sources

- bloomberg.com: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-12/planet-warming-el-nino-to-form-by-september-us-forecasters-say

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.