# Middle East war cuts fertilizer supply, dents Brazil’s demand

> RaboResearch projects Brazilian fertiliser demand falling to 47.2 million tonnes in 2026, down from 49.1 million last year, as the Middle East war raises costs. Brazil imports about 90% of its fertiliser, and global supplies are forecast to hit a record low.

- Date: 2026-04-14 · published 2026-04-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/20028-middle-east-war-cuts-fertilizer-supply-dents-brazil-s-demand
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Brazilian fertiliser use could cut yields in a major corn and soy exporter, while tight global supply keeps input costs high, supporting grain prices.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2022-09-09 | [Brazil, US can expect a 'healthier supply' of fertilizers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39900-brazil-us-can-expect-a-healthier-supply-of-fertilizers.md) | +3.8% | -4.2% |
| UREA | 2026-03-12 | [World faces largest-ever oil supply disruption on Middle East war, IEA says \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9389-world-faces-largest-ever-oil-supply-disruption-on-middle-east-war-iea-says.md) | +3.1% | +18.5% |
| UREA | 2025-11-05 | [Global fertilizer prices to surge by 21% in 2025, World Bank warns \| AgriTech Middle East & Africa - Trends in I ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6231-global-fertilizer-prices-to-surge-by-21-in-2025-world-bank-warns-agritech.md) | -2.3% | -10.7% |
| UREA | 2022-09-18 | [FitchRatings: Moroccan Fertilizer Prices to Increase Amid Supply Constraints](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39898-fitchratings-moroccan-fertilizer-prices-to-increase-amid-supply-constraints.md) | -2.6% | -7.8% |
| UREA | 2025-07-09 | [Fertilizer prices gain momentum amid strong demand and geopolitical tensions](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5406-fertilizer-prices-gain-momentum-amid-strong-demand-and-geopolitical-tensions.md) | -0.8% | +7.3% |
| DAP | 2022-08-01 | [Mosaic sees fertilizer demand supported by tight crop supplies into 2023](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39977-mosaic-sees-fertilizer-demand-supported-by-tight-crop-supplies-into-2023.md) | -1.0% | -3.3% |
| DAP | 2024-11-14 | [Fertilizer market developments](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27318-fertilizer-market-developments.md) | 0.0% | -2.0% |
| DAP | 2025-11-05 | [Global fertilizer prices to surge by 21% in 2025, World Bank warns \| AgriTech Middle East & Africa - Trends in I ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6231-global-fertilizer-prices-to-surge-by-21-in-2025-world-bank-warns-agritech.md) | +0.2% | -11.9% |

## Sources

- valorinternational.globo.com: https://valorinternational.globo.com/agribusiness/news/2026/04/14/middle-east-war-cuts-fertilizer-supply-dents-brazils-demand.ghtml

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.