# In five charts: How UAE's exit could affect Opec's influence over the oil price

> The UAE has announced plans to leave OPEC and strike out alone, which analysts describe as a major blow to the group. The explainer covers how OPEC influences prices and what the departure could mean amid the US-Israel war with Iran and the loss of oil supply.

- Date: 2026-04-29 · published 2026-04-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19884-in-five-charts-how-uae-s-exit-could-affect-opec-s-influence-over-the-oil-price
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md)

## Why it matters

Weaker OPEC cohesion could mean more supply later once Hormuz reopens, a potentially bearish longer-term factor for crude, though near-term disruption keeps prices high.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: neutral
- BRENT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| BRENT | 2018-12-07 | [Who really influences the price of oil?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61732-who-really-influences-the-price-of-oil.md) | +2.2% | -2.9% |
| BRENT | 2026-04-06 | [OPEC+ to hike crude output: Will it make a difference to oil prices? \| Euronews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19611-opec-to-hike-crude-output-will-it-make-a-difference-to-oil-prices-euronews.md) | -9.7% | -4.1% |
| BRENT | 2026-03-09 | [Markets seesaw over oil price fears as Trump says war to be ‘ended soon’ - The Washington Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6634-markets-seesaw-over-oil-price-fears-as-trump-says-war-to-be-ended-soon-the.md) | +9.5% | +25.6% |
| BRENT | 2023-01-31 | [OPEC does not control price of oil, says cartel chief \| OPEC News \| Al Jazeera](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37689-opec-does-not-control-price-of-oil-says-cartel-chief-opec-news-al-jazeera.md) | -4.9% | -3.6% |
| BRENT | 2022-08-22 | [Oil pares losses after Saudi oilmin says OPEC+ has options including cuts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40195-oil-pares-losses-after-saudi-oilmin-says-opec-has-options-including-cuts.md) | +4.6% | -6.4% |
| WTI | 2018-12-07 | [Who really influences the price of oil?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61732-who-really-influences-the-price-of-oil.md) | +2.2% | -6.2% |
| WTI | 2026-04-06 | [OPEC+ to hike crude output: Will it make a difference to oil prices? \| Euronews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19611-opec-to-hike-crude-output-will-it-make-a-difference-to-oil-prices-euronews.md) | -13.2% | -7.5% |
| WTI | 2025-12-03 | [Vegetable oil prices rose slightly after falling in the previous week](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11261-vegetable-oil-prices-rose-slightly-after-falling-in-the-previous-week.md) | -0.7% | -2.5% |

## Sources

- bbc.com: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c70vjpny0dno

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.