# Australia’s wheat production may decline significantly

> Ukragroconsult reprints the World Grain report that the USDA FAS expects Australia's 2026/27 wheat output to fall to 29 million tonnes from 36 million. The decline comes from 4.8% less harvested area and lower yields. Wheat exports are projected at 23.5 million tonnes, 2.5 million lower year on year.

- Date: 2026-04-30 · published 2026-04-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19688-australia-s-wheat-production-may-decline-significantly
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A roughly 20% smaller Australian crop and lower exports reduce global wheat supply and support prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-11-06 | [Australia: FCStone estimates wheat production at only](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56011-australia-fcstone-estimates-wheat-production-at-only.md) | +3.2% | +7.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-04-29 | [Australia’s wheat production forecast to drop \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19682-australia-s-wheat-production-forecast-to-drop-world-grain.md) | -3.1% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2020-07-14 | [Global wheat production on the decline - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52052-global-wheat-production-on-the-decline-grain-central.md) | +0.4% | -1.8% |
| WHEAT | 2017-06-29 | [World Wheat Production to Decline in 2017/18 - U.S. Wheat Associates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70449-world-wheat-production-to-decline-in-2017-18-u-s-wheat-associates.md) | +2.3% | -2.9% |
| WHEAT | 2025-06-03 | [Australia to cut wheat production by 10% in 2025/26 — ABARES](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24169-australia-to-cut-wheat-production-by-10-in-2025-26-abares.md) | -1.0% | -0.4% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/australias-wheat-production-may-decline-significantly/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.