# The $13 Billion Question: What Australia’s 2025/26 Harvest Tells Us About the Season Ahead – Grain.net.au – Australian Grain & Pulse Network

> Australia's 2025/26 winter crop reached 68.4 million tonnes, up 13% year on year, with wheat at 35.99 Mt and a record barley crop of 16.33 Mt. The article estimates about $13 billion in wheat and barley export earnings. It warns that the 2026/27 season is looking drier.

- Date: 2026-04-24 · published 2026-04-24T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19686-the-13-billion-question-what-australia-s-2025-26-harvest-tells-us-about-the
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Large carryover supplies of wheat and barley add export availability and weigh on prices, though a drier outlook could cut the next crop.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-01-27 | [Australia to harvest bumper wheat crop \| 2021-01-27  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49105-australia-to-harvest-bumper-wheat-crop-2021-01-27-world-grain.md) | -10.0% | -0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2025-02-06 | [Australia harvested 2 million tons of wheat more than forecast in 2024/25 MY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26019-australia-harvested-2-million-tons-of-wheat-more-than-forecast-in-2024-25-my.md) | -0.7% | -3.6% |
| WHEAT | 2021-11-30 | [Australia set to harvest record grain crop \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44019-australia-set-to-harvest-record-grain-crop-world-grain.md) | -1.0% | -3.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-02-14 | [Western Australia’s wheat harvest exceeds forecast by 1.6 million tons, GIWA says - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26021-western-australia-s-wheat-harvest-exceeds-forecast-by-1-6-million-tons-giwa.md) | +1.6% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-01 | [Australia raises wheat harvest estimate by nearly two million tonnes - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21469-australia-raises-wheat-harvest-estimate-by-nearly-two-million-tonnes-agcanada.md) | +1.9% | +0.7% |

## Sources

- grain.net.au: https://grain.net.au/the-13-billion-question-what-australias-2025-26-harvest-tells-us-about-the-season-ahead/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.