# MARS analysts raise grain yield forecast in the EU despite emerging drought risks - AgriInsite

> The MARS bulletin raised its EU soft wheat yield forecast to about 6.05 t/ha, above the five-year average but below last year. Winter barley yields were revised slightly upward to 5.23 t/ha and rapeseed estimates also improved, though rainfall deficits in central, northern and eastern regions remain a risk.

- Date: 2026-04-29 · published 2026-04-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19662-mars-analysts-raise-grain-yield-forecast-in-the-eu-despite-emerging-drought
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Higher EU yield forecasts add supply and are mildly bearish for wheat and barley, though persistent dryness could reverse the upgrade before harvest.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-08-26 | [MARS raises EU soft wheat yield forecast to 6.15 t/ha](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23267-mars-raises-eu-soft-wheat-yield-forecast-to-6-15-t-ha.md) | +0.4% | -1.2% |
| WHEAT | 2017-03-17 | [Strategie Grains Increased Its Forecast On Wheat And Barley Yields In The EU, But Decreased Its Corn Forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71948-strategie-grains-increased-its-forecast-on-wheat-and-barley-yields-in-the-eu.md) | -2.9% | -0.0% |
| WHEAT | 2020-12-09 | [Grain output forecast to rise in EU in 2021 \| 2020-12-09  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49591-grain-output-forecast-to-rise-in-eu-in-2021-2020-12-09-world-grain.md) | -1.1% | +4.5% |
| WHEAT | 2025-05-16 | [Strategie Grains raises EU grain harvest forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24615-strategie-grains-raises-eu-grain-harvest-forecast.md) | -4.8% | -4.2% |
| WHEAT | 2021-05-15 | [Strategie Grains keeps EU wheat crop forecast despite France cut - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47026-strategie-grains-keeps-eu-wheat-crop-forecast-despite-france-cut-markets.md) | -1.3% | -4.1% |

## Sources

- agriinsite.com: https://agriinsite.com/mars-analysts-raise-grain-yield-forecast-in-the-eu-despite-emerging-drought-risks/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.