# EU overall grains production forecast to decline | World Grain

> The USDA FAS annual report projects EU total grain production at about 277 million tonnes in 2026-27, down from 288.8 million in 2025-26, with planted area slightly reduced. High fertilizer and fuel costs, linked to the Strait of Hormuz closure and the EU CBAM, are weighing on input decisions.

- Date: 2026-04-23 · published 2026-04-23T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19660-eu-overall-grains-production-forecast-to-decline-world-grain
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A roughly 4% drop in EU grain output and reduced fertilizer use could lift European feed grain import demand and support global grain prices, with the risk of a larger drop in 2027-28.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-06-11 | [COCERAL forecasts lower E.U. crop production \| World-grain.com \| June 11, 2018 12:32 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64474-coceral-forecasts-lower-e-u-crop-production-world-grain-com-june-11-2018-12-32.md) | -3.5% | -5.6% |
| CORN | 2025-08-11 | [France raises wheat harvest forecast but expects corn production to decline](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23272-france-raises-wheat-harvest-forecast-but-expects-corn-production-to-decline.md) | -0.0% | +3.7% |
| CORN | 2017-02-01 | [World stockfeed production eclipses one billion tonnes for first time - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72615-world-stockfeed-production-eclipses-one-billion-tonnes-for-first-time-grain.md) | -0.1% | +0.9% |
| CORN | 2026-09-17 | [IGC: Grain production falls but GOI prices rise \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9696-igc-grain-production-falls-but-goi-prices-rise-world-grain.md) | -1.2% | -5.6% |
| CORN | 2023-12-04 | [USDA increases beef production forecasts - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32852-usda-increases-beef-production-forecasts-grainews.md) | +1.7% | +3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2026-04-29 | [Australia’s wheat production forecast to drop \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19682-australia-s-wheat-production-forecast-to-drop-world-grain.md) | -3.1% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2021-10-01 | [Coceral lowers EU grain production forecast \| Miller Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44482-coceral-lowers-eu-grain-production-forecast-miller-magazine.md) | +5.1% | +8.6% |
| WHEAT | 2018-10-10 | [Brazil corn production forecast higher \| 2018-10-10  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62372-brazil-corn-production-forecast-higher-2018-10-10-world-grain.md) | +8.2% | +4.5% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/22672-eu-overall-grains-production-forecast-to-decline

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.