# A bit smaller EU wheat crop predicted for 2026-27 - Grainews

> The USDA attaché in Madrid projects EU wheat production in 2026-27 at 136.8 million tonnes, down from 145.1 million in 2025-26, on harvested area of 23.65 million hectares and yields of 5.78 t/ha. The attaché noted room for higher yields if spring and early summer weather is favorable.

- Date: 2026-04-22 · published 2026-04-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19657-a-bit-smaller-eu-wheat-crop-predicted-for-2026-27-grainews
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller EU crop with imports forecast slightly higher at 6.5 million tonnes modestly supports wheat prices and EU import demand, though the outlook remains tied to spring weather.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-12-13 | [Coceral sees smaller EU wheat crop in 2022 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43539-coceral-sees-smaller-eu-wheat-crop-in-2022-world-grain.md) | -6.0% | +1.3% |
| WHEAT | 2021-01-27 | [Smaller wheat and oat crops forecast for Canada \| 2021-01-27  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49209-smaller-wheat-and-oat-crops-forecast-for-canada-2021-01-27-world-grain.md) | -10.0% | -0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2025-04-29 | [Smaller Australian wheat crop in 2025/26 \| Farmtario](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25091-smaller-australian-wheat-crop-in-2025-26-farmtario.md) | +2.1% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-29 | [Wheat growers bear brunt of fall in 2026-27 winter crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19232-wheat-growers-bear-brunt-of-fall-in-2026-27-winter-crop.md) | -2.6% | -0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2021-09-10 | [COCERAL reduces crop projection for EU-27+UK  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45013-coceral-reduces-crop-projection-for-eu-27-uk-world-grain.md) | +3.6% | +5.7% |

## Sources

- grainews.ca: https://www.grainews.ca/daily/a-bit-smaller-eu-wheat-crop-predicted-for-2026-27/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.