# The Iran war’s impacts on global fertilizer markets and food production

> IFPRI analysis finds that Strait of Hormuz shipping restrictions have already driven sharp increases in fertilizer and energy prices. It warns that prolonged disruption could reduce fertilizer use and crop yields, with the greatest food security risk in Africa and South Asia dependent on Gulf fertilizer and gas.

- Date: 2026-04-01 · published 2026-04-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19643-the-iran-war-s-impacts-on-global-fertilizer-markets-and-food-production
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

If fertilizer use falls on high prices, crop yields could drop, tightening future grain and oilseed supplies and supporting feed prices.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-04-09 | [Iran war’s impact on fertilizer and fuel \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20032-iran-war-s-impact-on-fertilizer-and-fuel-reuters.md) | +2.4% | -12.4% |
| UREA | 2026-04-07 | [ICIS provides insight into impacts of US-Iran war on fertilizer markets \| World Fertilizer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19638-icis-provides-insight-into-impacts-of-us-iran-war-on-fertilizer-markets-world.md) | 0.0% | -10.4% |
| UREA | 2026-04-13 | [War Stresses Global Fertilizer Markets \| Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19637-war-stresses-global-fertilizer-markets-rabobank.md) | +1.2% | -13.1% |
| UREA | 2026-06-02 | [Global Fertilizer Markets Today - IFDC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7282-global-fertilizer-markets-today-ifdc.md) | -8.2% | -16.1% |
| UREA | 2026-05-19 | [Global wheat markets on edge as war, weather, fertilizer shocks drive new rally \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19291-global-wheat-markets-on-edge-as-war-weather-fertilizer-shocks-drive-new-rally-s.md) | -1.9% | -30.1% |
| CORN | 2026-04-07 | [ICIS provides insight into impacts of US-Iran war on fertilizer markets \| World Fertilizer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19638-icis-provides-insight-into-impacts-of-us-iran-war-on-fertilizer-markets-world.md) | -2.5% | +3.0% |
| CORN | 2026-04-13 | [War Stresses Global Fertilizer Markets \| Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19637-war-stresses-global-fertilizer-markets-rabobank.md) | +1.7% | +3.2% |
| CORN | 2025-09-23 | [What Would Global Sanctions Against Russia Do to Fertilizer Markets?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22778-what-would-global-sanctions-against-russia-do-to-fertilizer-markets.md) | -1.4% | -1.4% |

## Sources

- ifpri.org: https://www.ifpri.org/blog/the-iran-wars-impacts-on-global-fertilizer-markets-and-food-production/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.