# "Super” El Niño Talk Grows: What It Means for U.S. Farmers

> NOAA's April outlook gives a 25% chance of a very strong El Nino and a 50% chance of a strong event later in 2026. Southern Plains drought relief depends on how quickly El Nino develops, with the Pacific Northwest a concern for summer and fall.

- Date: 2026-05-01 · published 2026-05-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19634-super-el-nino-talk-grows-what-it-means-for-u-s-farmers
- Commodities: [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Possible drought relief for the US Plains is a bearish factor for US wheat and corn risk premiums, while uncertainty about timing keeps some support in place.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- KWHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| KWHEAT | 2017-01-11 | [U.S. grains: Wheat hits one-week low on Plains forecasts \| Farmtario](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73032-u-s-grains-wheat-hits-one-week-low-on-plains-forecasts-farmtario.md) | +3.2% | +0.9% |
| KWHEAT | 2019-04-23 | [Global Wheat Market Outlook For Australian Growers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59641-global-wheat-market-outlook-for-australian-growers.md) | -5.3% | +5.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2016-07-14 | [U.S. grains: New forecast ends rallies - Manitoba Co-operator](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4942-u-s-grains-new-forecast-ends-rallies-manitoba-co-operator.md) | -0.2% | +1.0% |
| KWHEAT | 2026-04-30 | [Rains in the southern U.S. lead to mild drought improvement - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13001-rains-in-the-southern-u-s-lead-to-mild-drought-improvement-pro-farmer.md) | -2.1% | -3.6% |
| KWHEAT | 2021-04-29 | [Amid COVID-19 chaos and protests, India's farmers eye record wheat crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47566-amid-covid-19-chaos-and-protests-india-s-farmers-eye-record-wheat-crop.md) | +3.0% | -13.1% |
| CORN | 2017-08-14 | [What Does Lack of El Niño, La Niña Mean For Winter? \| The Weather Channel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69375-what-does-lack-of-el-nino-la-nina-mean-for-winter-the-weather-channel.md) | -2.0% | -4.4% |
| CORN | 2025-12-12 | [La Niña Is Fading: What It Means for South American Crop Potential - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21412-la-nina-is-fading-what-it-means-for-south-american-crop-potential-agweb.md) | +1.0% | -2.9% |
| CORN | 2025-03-03 | [What La Nina’s departure could mean for U.S. ag](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25498-what-la-nina-s-departure-could-mean-for-u-s-ag.md) | -0.2% | +2.5% |

## Sources

- agweb.com: https://www.agweb.com/news/crops/crop-production/super-el-nino-talk-grows-what-it-means-u-s-farmers

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.