# Rising Odds of Strong El Niño Point to Global Weather and Crop Impacts - Bloomberg

> The US Climate Prediction Center's outlook gives a 25% chance that El Nino becomes very strong. The forecast points to global weather and crop disruption, including in Vietnam and Brazil.

- Date: 2026-04-09 · published 2026-04-09T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19631-rising-odds-of-strong-el-nino-point-to-global-weather-and-crop-impacts-bloomberg
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Rising odds of a strong El Nino raise the risk of crop losses in Southeast Asia and Brazil, supporting grain and rice prices over the coming season.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2026-04-24 | [Forecast for strong El Niño fans worries about global crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19633-forecast-for-strong-el-nino-fans-worries-about-global-crops.md) | -2.0% | +18.1% |
| RICE | 2023-06-16 | [FACTBOX: Mapping El Nino's impact on crop yields, global food trade in 2023-24](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35405-factbox-mapping-el-nino-s-impact-on-crop-yields-global-food-trade-in-2023-24.md) | -0.2% | -13.4% |
| RICE | 2023-07-11 | [Rice Soars to Two-Year High in Asia on El Niño Drought Risks - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5208-rice-soars-to-two-year-high-in-asia-on-el-nino-drought-risks-bloomberg.md) | -19.6% | -16.6% |
| RICE | 2026-05-29 | [Sugar cane, rice, coffee and cocoa to feel effects of El Niño \| Baking Business](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19190-sugar-cane-rice-coffee-and-cocoa-to-feel-effects-of-el-nino-baking-business.md) | -4.1% | +1.3% |
| RICE | 2023-11-01 | [El Niño's Rain Games: A Global Hunger Crisis?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33099-el-nino-s-rain-games-a-global-hunger-crisis.md) | +1.2% | +8.0% |
| CORN | 2026-09-04 | [Will a ‘Super’ El Niño Impact the Weather and Food Production in 2026? - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17398-will-a-super-el-nino-impact-the-weather-and-food-production-in-2026-bloomberg.md) | +0.5% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2025-01-09 | [La Niña Emerges in Pacific Triggering Global Weather Changes - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26406-la-nina-emerges-in-pacific-triggering-global-weather-changes-bloomberg.md) | +4.1% | +5.7% |
| CORN | 2026-05-14 | [El Niño Likely to Develop, Threatening Crop Yields and Fueling Storm Concerns - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19188-el-nino-likely-to-develop-threatening-crop-yields-and-fueling-storm-concerns.md) | -0.4% | -7.9% |

## Sources

- bloomberg.com: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-09/el-nino-set-to-form-by-august-with-rising-heat-and-crop-risks

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.