# Explainer: How El Nino could impact the world's weather in 2026/27 | Reuters

> Global forecasters predict a strong El Nino will build in the second half of 2026, threatening hotter, drier weather across much of Asia while boosting rains in parts of the Americas. Japan's weather bureau puts the chance of El Nino emerging in the northern summer at 70%, and India expects below-average monsoon rains for the first time in three years.

- Date: 2026-04-24 · published 2026-04-24T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19629-explainer-how-el-nino-could-impact-the-world-s-weather-in-2026-27-reuters
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A strong El Nino raises the risk of drought-cut grain and oilseed output in Asia and Australia, supporting prices for rice, palm oil and feed grains while shifting South American crop prospects.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- RICE: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2026-06-04 | [Hot weather hurts Asian crops as powerful El Nino takes shape \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18728-hot-weather-hurts-asian-crops-as-powerful-el-nino-takes-shape-reuters.md) | -1.6% | +2.2% |
| RICE | 2017-03-14 | [Weak El Nino to have small impact on Asian crops this year \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71913-weak-el-nino-to-have-small-impact-on-asian-crops-this-year-the-star.md) | +2.4% | +6.7% |
| RICE | 2023-06-08 | [Extreme weather expected as El Nino climate pattern returns, US forecaster says \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35406-extreme-weather-expected-as-el-nino-climate-pattern-returns-us-forecaster-says.md) | -3.7% | +2.0% |
| RICE | 2024-06-21 | [Explainer: Why food prices will remain high in India \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29727-explainer-why-food-prices-will-remain-high-in-india-reuters.md) | -6.9% | -20.9% |
| RICE | 2023-10-09 | [Explained: How is ‘below normal’ monsoon 2023 impacting India’s economy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33579-explained-how-is-below-normal-monsoon-2023-impacting-india-s-economy.md) | -0.6% | +1.1% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-04-16 | [How El Nino-driven weaker monsoon rains could impact India - The Economic Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19704-how-el-nino-driven-weaker-monsoon-rains-could-impact-india-the-economic-times.md) | +0.8% | -0.8% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-09-04 | [Will a ‘Super’ El Niño Impact the Weather and Food Production in 2026? - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17398-will-a-super-el-nino-impact-the-weather-and-food-production-in-2026-bloomberg.md) | -1.4% | -8.8% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-06-04 | [Hot weather hurts Asian crops as powerful El Nino takes shape \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18728-hot-weather-hurts-asian-crops-as-powerful-el-nino-takes-shape-reuters.md) | -4.4% | -6.1% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/how-el-nino-could-impact-worlds-weather-202627-2026-04-24/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.