# Fertilizer analyst: Lowest phosphate price for 2026 may have passed | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.

> StoneX analyst Josh Linville said U.S. phosphate prices may already have passed their 2026 low, citing Mosaic's production cuts, China's export restrictions until at least August, and high sulfur costs for Russian and Moroccan producers. Mosaic's CEO said the company is ready to curtail output further if margins do not improve.

- Date: 2026-05-13 · published 2026-05-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19598-fertilizer-analyst-lowest-phosphate-price-for-2026-may-have-passed-agri-pulse
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md)

## Why it matters

Rising input costs and possible further curtailments point to firmer phosphate prices, raising fertilizer costs for the coming season.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2023-03-15 | [Fertilizer shortage and price concerns create golden opportunity for smarter phosphorus use](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37187-fertilizer-shortage-and-price-concerns-create-golden-opportunity-for-smarter.md) | +1.7% | +4.2% |
| DAP | 2026-04-30 | [World Bank Warns Fertilizer Prices Could Rise More Than 30% in 2026 - Ecofin Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7256-world-bank-warns-fertilizer-prices-could-rise-more-than-30-in-2026-ecofin-agency.md) | +4.8% | +7.3% |
| DAP | 2026-04-01 | [Fertilizer Prices Have ‘Significant’ Rise After Attack on Iran](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5105-fertilizer-prices-have-significant-rise-after-attack-on-iran.md) | +4.0% | +4.3% |
| DAP | 2025-06-03 | [Can New Sanctions Spark a Fertilizer Price Shock?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4336-can-new-sanctions-spark-a-fertilizer-price-shock.md) | +0.7% | +3.8% |
| DAP | 2021-09-21 | [Food prices poised to surge with fertilizer at highest in years](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45024-food-prices-poised-to-surge-with-fertilizer-at-highest-in-years.md) | +0.2% | +6.0% |

## Sources

- agri-pulse.com: https://www.agri-pulse.com/articles/24667-fertilizer-analyst-lowest-phosphate-price-for-2026-may-have-passed

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.