# Potash: Mosaic withdraws 2026 phosphate output forecast

> Mosaic withdrew its 2026 phosphate production forecast, which had been above 7 million tonnes, and said it would curtail output at several facilities due to higher raw material costs. It cited sulfur at record prices and expects Q2 phosphate sales of 1.4 to 1.7 million tonnes after partial curtailments at Louisiana and Bartow.

- Date: 2026-05-11 · published 2026-05-11T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19597-potash-mosaic-withdraws-2026-phosphate-output-forecast
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md)

## Why it matters

Lower phosphate output from a major producer tightens DAP supply and supports prices into the next application season.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2026-05-13 | [Fertilizer analyst: Lowest phosphate price for 2026 may have passed \| Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19598-fertilizer-analyst-lowest-phosphate-price-for-2026-may-have-passed-agri-pulse.md) | +2.0% | +3.3% |
| DAP | 2024-05-06 | [Morocco's surging role in the global phosphate market - The Morocco Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30592-morocco-s-surging-role-in-the-global-phosphate-market-the-morocco-post.md) | +3.6% | +7.7% |
| DAP | 2024-03-25 | [High prices to curb southern LatAm phosphate imports \| Latest Market News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31532-high-prices-to-curb-southern-latam-phosphate-imports-latest-market-news.md) | -10.7% | -13.4% |
| DAP | 2026-08-26 | [Sulfur Shortage Is Forcing Phosphate Production Cuts \| E+E Leader](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18205-sulfur-shortage-is-forcing-phosphate-production-cuts-e-e-leader.md) | -0.6% | +0.9% |
| DAP | 2022-10-04 | [AUSTRALIA/MOROCCO/WESTERN SAHARA • OCP resumes Western Sahara phosphate exports to Australia - 04/10/2022 - Africa Intelligence](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39466-australia-morocco-western-sahara-ocp-resumes-western-sahara-phosphate-exports.md) | -1.7% | -5.5% |

## Sources

- bnnbloomberg.ca: https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/business/2026/05/11/mosaic-withdraws-2026-phosphate-output-forecast-curtails-production-amid-higher-costs/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.