# Euro declines as risk aversion, Fed rate hike odds increase

> EUR/USD fell for a sixth straight day to around 1.1620 as the dollar gained on a more hawkish Fed stance. Markets raised the odds of a December Fed hike to nearly 48%, and the Strait of Hormuz remained effectively closed.

- Date: 2026-05-18 · published 2026-05-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Europe · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19477-euro-declines-as-risk-aversion-fed-rate-hike-odds-increase
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md)

## Why it matters

Higher US rate expectations and safe-haven dollar demand raise the cost of dollar-priced commodity imports and pressure feed prices in import markets, while energy costs remain high.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bullish ▲
- WTI: bullish ▲
- EURUSD: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2026-10-01 | [Dollar rises, euro slips after ECB rate increase](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17692-dollar-rises-euro-slips-after-ecb-rate-increase.md) | -1.4% | -1.6% |
| EURUSD | 2022-07-20 | [Dollar rises vs euro as traders eye ECB rate decision](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40712-dollar-rises-vs-euro-as-traders-eye-ecb-rate-decision.md) | -1.2% | -0.6% |
| EURUSD | 2022-08-22 | [Dollar rises on risk aversion; euro revisits parity](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40217-dollar-rises-on-risk-aversion-euro-revisits-parity.md) | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| EURUSD | 2026-09-10 | [Euro slips as dollar rises after ECB rate hike \| MarketScreener](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17698-euro-slips-as-dollar-rises-after-ecb-rate-hike-marketscreener.md) | -0.8% | -3.8% |
| EURUSD | 2026-06-19 | [The Euro sinks on its own rate hike](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11515-the-euro-sinks-on-its-own-rate-hike.md) | -0.6% | -0.5% |
| DXY | 2026-10-01 | [Dollar rises, euro slips after ECB rate increase](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17692-dollar-rises-euro-slips-after-ecb-rate-increase.md) | +0.2% | +0.6% |
| DXY | 2022-10-28 | [Gold down 1% as dollar, yields rise on Fed rate-hike bets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39036-gold-down-1-as-dollar-yields-rise-on-fed-rate-hike-bets.md) | +1.2% | -2.4% |
| DXY | 2022-07-20 | [Dollar rises vs euro as traders eye ECB rate decision](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40712-dollar-rises-vs-euro-as-traders-eye-ecb-rate-decision.md) | +0.2% | -0.7% |

## Sources

- fxstreet.com: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/euro-declines-as-risk-aversion-fed-rate-hike-odds-increase-202605180453

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.