# Dollar Faces Bigger Hit Than Euro If Fed, ECB Resume Rate Cuts -- Market Talk

> Commerzbank analyst Thu Lan Nguyen says the euro is likely to rise against the dollar even if the Fed and ECB resume rate cuts next year. She expects EUR/USD at $1.21 by end-2027 from about $1.1636.

- Date: 2026-05-29 · published 2026-05-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Europe · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19476-dollar-faces-bigger-hit-than-euro-if-fed-ecb-resume-rate-cuts-market-talk
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

This is a longer-term currency forecast with limited near-term effect on feed commodity prices, though a weaker dollar would modestly support dollar-priced commodity imports.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bearish ▼
- EURUSD: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2026-05-29 | [Euro-Dollar: Why Markets Think The ECB Will Hike Before The Fed](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19473-euro-dollar-why-markets-think-the-ecb-will-hike-before-the-fed.md) | -0.2% | -2.1% |
| EURUSD | 2024-08-14 | [Euro Nears Year’s High on Bet Fed Will Cut Rates Faster Than ECB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29016-euro-nears-year-s-high-on-bet-fed-will-cut-rates-faster-than-ecb.md) | +1.4% | +0.5% |
| EURUSD | 2023-12-14 | [Dollar tumbles on dovish Fed, euro gains as ECB talks down rate cuts – ThePrint – ReutersFeed](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8298-dollar-tumbles-on-dovish-fed-euro-gains-as-ecb-talks-down-rate-cuts-theprint.md) | +1.5% | +1.5% |
| EURUSD | 2022-05-23 | [Dollar Vs. Euro: Greenback Hits One-Month Low As ECB Eyes Rate Hikes - Markets Insider](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41613-dollar-vs-euro-greenback-hits-one-month-low-as-ecb-eyes-rate-hikes-markets.md) | +1.4% | -0.1% |
| EURUSD | 2021-01-22 | [FX traders brush off ECB talk, bet euro-dollar has further to run - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49376-fx-traders-brush-off-ecb-talk-bet-euro-dollar-has-further-to-run-markets.md) | -0.2% | -0.1% |
| DXY | 2026-05-29 | [Euro-Dollar: Why Markets Think The ECB Will Hike Before The Fed](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19473-euro-dollar-why-markets-think-the-ecb-will-hike-before-the-fed.md) | +0.3% | +1.6% |
| DXY | 2020-03-02 | [Dollar takes a back seat as markets bet on Fed rate cuts - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6185-dollar-takes-a-back-seat-as-markets-bet-on-fed-rate-cuts-the-hindubusinessline.md) | -0.8% | +4.0% |
| DXY | 2024-08-14 | [Euro Nears Year’s High on Bet Fed Will Cut Rates Faster Than ECB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29016-euro-nears-year-s-high-on-bet-fed-will-cut-rates-faster-than-ecb.md) | -1.0% | -0.2% |

## Sources

- moomoo.com: https://www.moomoo.com/news/post/70771052/dollar-faces-bigger-hit-than-euro-if-fed-ecb-resume

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.