# Oil price spike turmoil far from over, IEA says

> The IEA's May monthly report says oil inventories are being depleted at a record pace because of Hormuz supply losses, which have reached 12.8 million barrels per day since the war began. Brent traded near $107 and the agency expects prices could rise further over the summer, while forecasting demand to contract by 420,000 barrels per day by year-end.

- Date: 2026-05-13 · published 2026-05-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19445-oil-price-spike-turmoil-far-from-over-iea-says
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md)

## Why it matters

Rapidly falling inventories and a market expected to stay in deficit point to firm energy prices through summer, raising costs for transport, fertilizer and processing.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bullish ▲
- BRENT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| BRENT | 2022-03-11 | [Global diesel shortage raises risk of oil price spike](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4721-global-diesel-shortage-raises-risk-of-oil-price-spike.md) | -1.7% | -10.5% |
| BRENT | 2024-09-10 | [US EIA lifts oil demand forecast, says prices will recover to above $80/bbl \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10170-us-eia-lifts-oil-demand-forecast-says-prices-will-recover-to-above-80-bbl.md) | +1.7% | +12.8% |
| BRENT | 2026-04-01 | [Iran war shock drives steepest hike yet in oil price forecasts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20327-iran-war-shock-drives-steepest-hike-yet-in-oil-price-forecasts.md) | -12.2% | -1.1% |
| BRENT | 2025-05-14 | [OPEC expects slower 2025 oil supply growth from rivals after price drop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24854-opec-expects-slower-2025-oil-supply-growth-from-rivals-after-price-drop.md) | -0.9% | +5.6% |
| BRENT | 2026-03-12 | [World faces largest-ever oil supply disruption on Middle East war, IEA says \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9389-world-faces-largest-ever-oil-supply-disruption-on-middle-east-war-iea-says.md) | +23.1% | +16.8% |
| WTI | 2024-09-10 | [US EIA lifts oil demand forecast, says prices will recover to above $80/bbl \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10170-us-eia-lifts-oil-demand-forecast-says-prices-will-recover-to-above-80-bbl.md) | +2.1% | +11.9% |
| WTI | 2026-04-01 | [Iran war shock drives steepest hike yet in oil price forecasts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20327-iran-war-shock-drives-steepest-hike-yet-in-oil-price-forecasts.md) | -6.6% | +6.7% |
| WTI | 2025-05-14 | [OPEC expects slower 2025 oil supply growth from rivals after price drop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24854-opec-expects-slower-2025-oil-supply-growth-from-rivals-after-price-drop.md) | -1.7% | +6.3% |

## Sources

- cnbc.com: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/oil-price-spike-turmoil-iea-iran-war.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.