# Drought, frost provide lift for U.S. hard red wheat price | The Western Producer

> Persistent dry weather and wild temperature swings, including hard frosts April 17-19, have badly damaged US hard red winter wheat in Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Texas and Colorado. Kansas winter wheat was rated 41% poor to very poor at the end of April, versus 17% a year earlier.

- Date: 2026-05-05 · published 2026-05-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19313-drought-frost-provide-lift-for-u-s-hard-red-wheat-price-the-western-producer
- Commodities: [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Poor crop ratings point to lower HRW output and possibly higher abandonment, which supports HRW prices. Sustained stress would lift export competition for other origins.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| KWHEAT | 2026-04-29 | [U.S. hard red winter wheat crop finds itself in trouble \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19780-u-s-hard-red-winter-wheat-crop-finds-itself-in-trouble-the-western-producer.md) | -2.8% | -3.9% |
| KWHEAT | 2017-09-21 | [U.S. winter wheat plantings might be smaller \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8511-u-s-winter-wheat-plantings-might-be-smaller-the-western-producer.md) | +2.5% | -4.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2022-04-13 | [U.S. Hard Red Winter Wheat in Drought Adds Supply Concerns](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41905-u-s-hard-red-winter-wheat-in-drought-adds-supply-concerns.md) | +0.1% | +2.1% |
| KWHEAT | 2022-10-22 | [Rains threaten South American wheat \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13694-rains-threaten-south-american-wheat-the-western-producer.md) | -2.5% | -1.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2021-07-23 | [Crop markets wake up to evolving drought disaster \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46115-crop-markets-wake-up-to-evolving-drought-disaster-the-western-producer.md) | +3.2% | +9.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-04-29 | [U.S. hard red winter wheat crop finds itself in trouble \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19780-u-s-hard-red-winter-wheat-crop-finds-itself-in-trouble-the-western-producer.md) | -3.1% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2019-12-02 | [Wet autumn to cut wheat area in France, UK in setback for next harvest \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55525-wet-autumn-to-cut-wheat-area-in-france-uk-in-setback-for-next-harvest-the.md) | -0.7% | -1.9% |
| WHEAT | 2017-09-21 | [U.S. winter wheat plantings might be smaller \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8511-u-s-winter-wheat-plantings-might-be-smaller-the-western-producer.md) | -6.6% | +3.1% |

## Sources

- producer.com: https://www.producer.com/markets/drought-frost-lift-hard-red-wheat-price/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.