# USDA forecasts tighter soybean supplies

> USDA's May WASDE projected tighter 2026/27 US and global soybean supplies alongside strong demand. Biofuel-driven crush is expected to hit a record. November futures reached about $12.14 per bushel after the report.

- Date: 2026-05-21 · published 2026-05-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19295-usda-forecasts-tighter-soybean-supplies
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

Expected record crush for biofuels reduces soybean and soybean oil stocks, supporting firmer prices. Soybean oil demand from biofuel policy is the main bullish driver.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-02-27 | [USDA Forecasts Tighter-Than-Expected Soybean Ending Stocks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26098-usda-forecasts-tighter-than-expected-soybean-ending-stocks.md) | -2.6% | -2.3% |
| SOY | 2020-09-11 | [USDA Lowers Corn and Soybean Forecasts \| AgWired](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50974-usda-lowers-corn-and-soybean-forecasts-agwired.md) | +4.4% | +6.6% |
| SOY | 2023-12-08 | [USDA trims forecast for soybean, wheat supplies \| Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32633-usda-trims-forecast-for-soybean-wheat-supplies-agri-pulse-communications-inc.md) | +0.2% | -5.5% |
| SOY | 2023-10-12 | [USDA Further Trims Its Forecasts for US Corn and Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13238-usda-further-trims-its-forecasts-for-us-corn-and-soybeans.md) | +4.7% | +7.7% |
| SOY | 2017-01-01 | [USDA Reports Provide Support to Soybean Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72939-usda-reports-provide-support-to-soybean-prices.md) | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| SBO | 2018-09-12 | [USDA forecasts soybean crush to keep growing - McKeany-Flavell](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63103-usda-forecasts-soybean-crush-to-keep-growing-mckeany-flavell.md) | -2.2% | +4.5% |
| SBO | 2025-05-15 | [USDA forecasts lower US soybean stocks, record crush for 2025/26 \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24760-usda-forecasts-lower-us-soybean-stocks-record-crush-for-2025-26-feed-and-grain.md) | -0.8% | -4.5% |
| SBO | 2023-04-26 | [USDA forecasts strong global soyabean trade but lower meal and oil…](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36486-usda-forecasts-strong-global-soyabean-trade-but-lower-meal-and-oil.md) | -3.1% | -9.7% |

## Sources

- farmprogress.com: https://www.farmprogress.com/marketing/soybean-futures-surge-as-usda-forecasts-tighter-supplies

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.