# Australia looks to smaller winter crop, impacted by mixed weather and high input costs: Rabobank I Australian Rural & Regional News

> Rabobank's 2026/27 Australian Winter Crop Forecast estimates winter cropping area at 23.1 million hectares, down 8% year on year. Wheat area is projected at 9.8 million hectares, down 20.4%, with barley, canola and pulses forecast higher. Western Australia is expected to reach a record 9.47 million hectares.

- Date: 2026-05-26 · published 2026-05-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19237-australia-looks-to-smaller-winter-crop-impacted-by-mixed-weather-and-high-input
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller Australian wheat area points to tighter export supplies and firmer wheat prices. Higher barley and canola plantings partly offset this for feed and oilseed markets.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: neutral
- CANMEAL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-10-20 | [A golden outlook for a golden year’ – Rabobank 2021/22 Australian Winter Crop Forecast I Australian Rural & Regional News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44506-a-golden-outlook-for-a-golden-year-rabobank-2021-22-australian-winter-crop.md) | +0.5% | +8.9% |
| WHEAT | 2023-11-06 | [Australian Winter Crop Forecast by Rabobank - Poultry Newspaper](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33123-australian-winter-crop-forecast-by-rabobank-poultry-newspaper.md) | -1.9% | -0.6% |
| WHEAT | 2025-05-25 | [Australia heading towards record-high winter crop planting – Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24631-australia-heading-towards-record-high-winter-crop-planting-rabobank.md) | -0.1% | +0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-01 | [Australian Wheat Crop Expected to Drop 26% on Weather, War Costs - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18774-australian-wheat-crop-expected-to-drop-26-on-weather-war-costs-bloomberg.md) | -2.6% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-31 | [Winter crop inputs, area, rise: Rabobank - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35905-winter-crop-inputs-area-rise-rabobank-grain-central.md) | -3.2% | +9.0% |

## Sources

- arr.news: https://arr.news/2026/05/26/australia-looks-to-smaller-winter-crop-impacted-by-mixed-weather-and-high-input-costs-rabobank/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.