# Wheat growers bear brunt of fall in 2026-27 winter crop

> Rabobank's 2026-27 winter crop forecast puts Australian winter cropping area at 23.1 million hectares, down 8% year on year. Wheat area is forecast to fall 20.4% to 9.8 million hectares, with barley, canola and pulses rising. Rabobank expects Australian wheat output of about 21.3 million tonnes, down 41% from the last crop.

- Date: 2026-05-29 · published 2026-05-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19232-wheat-growers-bear-brunt-of-fall-in-2026-27-winter-crop
- Commodities: [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md), [ULSD / Diesel](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DIESEL.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A sharp fall in Australian wheat output tightens export supply and supports wheat prices. Higher barley and canola area could add feed and oilseed supply later.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: neutral
- DIESEL: bullish ▲
- CANMEAL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DIESEL | 2019-07-08 | [IMO 2020: A new higher normal for diesel prices? by FreightWaves Intel Group is available on SONAR - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58287-imo-2020-a-new-higher-normal-for-diesel-prices-by-freightwaves-intel-group-is.md) | +4.0% | -1.4% |
| DIESEL | 2026-10-28 | [US crude and distillate inventories fall, gasoline stocks rise, EIA says By Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/271-us-crude-and-distillate-inventories-fall-gasoline-stocks-rise-eia-says-by.md) | -4.2% | — |
| DIESEL | 2018-10-24 | [U.S. oil prices up after sharp drop in fuel stocks \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12172-u-s-oil-prices-up-after-sharp-drop-in-fuel-stocks-reuters.md) | +0.6% | -11.6% |
| DIESEL | 2024-10-04 | [Distillate fuel oil demand will increase in the fall because of the agricultural harvest -
		U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11686-distillate-fuel-oil-demand-will-increase-in-the-fall-because-of-the.md) | +2.4% | -2.8% |
| DIESEL | 2022-05-25 | [East Coast diesel inventories tighter again; other numbers offer buyers hope - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41589-east-coast-diesel-inventories-tighter-again-other-numbers-offer-buyers-hope.md) | +8.0% | +11.9% |
| WHEAT | 2026-04-22 | [A bit smaller EU wheat crop predicted for 2026-27 - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19657-a-bit-smaller-eu-wheat-crop-predicted-for-2026-27-grainews.md) | +1.2% | +2.3% |
| WHEAT | 2025-04-29 | [Smaller Australian wheat crop in 2025/26 \| Farmtario](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25091-smaller-australian-wheat-crop-in-2025-26-farmtario.md) | +2.1% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-22 | [Bad outlook for U.S. winter wheat crop gets worse](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19310-bad-outlook-for-u-s-winter-wheat-crop-gets-worse.md) | -1.3% | -0.8% |

## Sources

- newscop.com.au: https://newscop.com.au/2026/05/30/wheat-growers-bear-brunt-of-shortfall/
- newscop.com.au: https://newscop.com.au/2026/05/30/wheat-growers-bear-brunt-of-shortfall/2/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.