# Geopolitical crisis, weather may help India export 2 mt of wheat, says USDA - The HinduBusinessLine

> USDA projects India could export at least 2 million tonnes of wheat in 2026/27, up from 0.25 million previously, after the government lifted its 2023 export ban. USDA also cut global 2026/27 wheat production to 819.1 million tonnes, with large reductions for the US, EU, Argentina, Australia and Canada.

- Date: 2026-05-13 · published 2026-05-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/19227-geopolitical-crisis-weather-may-help-india-export-2-mt-of-wheat-says-usda-the
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Lower production among major exporters tightens global wheat supply and supports prices, partly offset by a larger Indian export contribution. The net price implication is supportive for wheat.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-08-14 | [India’s role as key supplier in global grains market has shrunk, says USDA - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28730-india-s-role-as-key-supplier-in-global-grains-market-has-shrunk-says-usda-the.md) | -6.3% | -2.5% |
| WHEAT | 2021-05-06 | [India's 2021-22 wheat exports seen 26% lower on year at 2 mil mt: USDA attache \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47050-india-s-2021-22-wheat-exports-seen-26-lower-on-year-at-2-mil-mt-usda-attache-s.md) | +4.6% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-31 | [Global wheat output may drop 24 million tonnes next season on Iran war, El Nino impacts - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18246-global-wheat-output-may-drop-24-million-tonnes-next-season-on-iran-war-el-nino.md) | -1.7% | +3.8% |
| WHEAT | 2018-07-12 | [Corn, Wheat Get Help From USDA Report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63998-corn-wheat-get-help-from-usda-report.md) | +3.8% | +9.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-08 | [FAO Food Price Index edges up amid weather, energy and geopolitical concerns](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7339-fao-food-price-index-edges-up-amid-weather-energy-and-geopolitical-concerns.md) | -0.2% | +0.9% |
| KWHEAT | 2026-07-31 | [Global wheat output may drop 24 million tonnes next season on Iran war, El Nino impacts - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18246-global-wheat-output-may-drop-24-million-tonnes-next-season-on-iran-war-el-nino.md) | -4.2% | +10.0% |
| KWHEAT | 2025-01-22 | [Global wheat carryover stocks in 2025 to hit nine-year low: USDA  - Milling Middle East & Africa Magazine - No.1 Grains Industry Magazine & Website for Africa & the Middle East](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26548-global-wheat-carryover-stocks-in-2025-to-hit-nine-year-low-usda-milling-middle.md) | -2.5% | +6.6% |
| KWHEAT | 2020-06-10 | [Commercial U.S. Wheat Export Sales Top USDA Estimate - U.S. Wheat Associates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52646-commercial-u-s-wheat-export-sales-top-usda-estimate-u-s-wheat-associates.md) | -4.3% | -1.3% |

## Sources

- thehindubusinessline.com: https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/geopolitical-crisis-weather-may-help-india-export-2-mt-of-wheat-says-usda/article70973195.ece

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.