# Oil curve points to near-term glut as Hormuz flows rise | Reuters

> Oil futures have fallen back to pre-war levels as Middle East exports surge after Hormuz flows rebounded. August Brent traded near $73, its lowest since February 27, and the front of the curve moved into contango.

- Date: 2026-06-24 · published 2026-06-24T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18985-oil-curve-points-to-near-term-glut-as-hormuz-flows-rise-reuters
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A near-term supply glut lowers energy and diesel costs and weakens the biofuel-linked demand case for vegetable oils. Analysts expect the market to tighten later as demand recovers.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bearish ▼
- WTI: bearish ▼
- BRENT: bearish ▼
- PALMOIL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| BRENT | 2020-02-27 | [Oil prices dive to lowest in over a year on coronavirus fears \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7109-oil-prices-dive-to-lowest-in-over-a-year-on-coronavirus-fears-reuters.md) | -5.0% | -51.1% |
| BRENT | 2025-01-27 | [Oil hits 2-week low as China's DeepSeek AI spurs demand fears \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26682-oil-hits-2-week-low-as-china-s-deepseek-ai-spurs-demand-fears-reuters.md) | -2.1% | -5.0% |
| BRENT | 2026-06-30 | [Economists Agree: 2026 Oil price forecasts lowered as Strait of Hormuz shipping improves – Reuters poll — Octa](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19001-economists-agree-2026-oil-price-forecasts-lowered-as-strait-of-hormuz-shipping.md) | -2.2% | +24.5% |
| BRENT | 2021-11-03 | [Rupee rises by 22 paise to nearly 1-month high on FPI flows \| Business](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44323-rupee-rises-by-22-paise-to-nearly-1-month-high-on-fpi-flows-business.md) | +0.1% | -16.4% |
| BRENT | 2021-12-01 | [Oil prices sink again as traders use Omicron as an excuse to hit 'sell' \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6300-oil-prices-sink-again-as-traders-use-omicron-as-an-excuse-to-hit-sell-reuters.md) | +6.8% | +9.0% |
| WTI | 2026-07-27 | [Canadian dollar hits near two-week low as oil prices drop \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18591-canadian-dollar-hits-near-two-week-low-as-oil-prices-drop-reuters.md) | -3.3% | -2.6% |
| WTI | 2021-12-15 | [Canadian dollar at nearly 3-month low as oil prices fall \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43853-canadian-dollar-at-nearly-3-month-low-as-oil-prices-fall-reuters.md) | +0.7% | +16.9% |
| WTI | 2020-02-27 | [Oil prices dive to lowest in over a year on coronavirus fears \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7109-oil-prices-dive-to-lowest-in-over-a-year-on-coronavirus-fears-reuters.md) | -3.9% | -55.0% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/oil-markets-start-signal-near-term-oversupply-tankers-exit-strait-hormuz-2026-06-24/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.