# Australia could pose less competition to Canadian growers in 2026-27 - Country Guide

> Country Guide reports ABARES forecasts Australia's 2026-27 winter crop at 54.5 million tonnes, down 21%, with reductions in all main crops except lentils. Analyst Bruce Burnett says Australia could pose less competition to Canadian growers in Asia and the US. Forecasters warn of a possible strong El Niño that could dry eastern Australia.

- Date: 2026-06-05 · published 2026-06-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Canada · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18776-australia-could-pose-less-competition-to-canadian-growers-in-2026-27-country
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Australian supply would reduce export competition for Canadian grains, supporting Canadian wheat and barley prices. El Niño risk adds upside uncertainty for global supply.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-06-03 | [Australia to cut wheat production by 10% in 2025/26 — ABARES](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24169-australia-to-cut-wheat-production-by-10-in-2025-26-abares.md) | -1.0% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2021-05-03 | [Australian grain production falls to average levels  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47057-australian-grain-production-falls-to-average-levels-world-grain.md) | -5.4% | -5.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-02 | [Australia’s 2026-27 winter crop seen slipping \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18773-australia-s-2026-27-winter-crop-seen-slipping-world-grain.md) | -0.6% | +1.3% |
| WHEAT | 2018-02-13 | [Australian wheat production drops 38% \| World-grain.com \| February 13, 2018 15:18 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66464-australian-wheat-production-drops-38-world-grain-com-february-13-2018-15-18.md) | -0.7% | +1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2017-12-04 | [Australian grain crops forecast lower in 2017-18 \| World-grain.com \| December 04, 2017 14:05 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67430-australian-grain-crops-forecast-lower-in-2017-18-world-grain-com-december-04.md) | +2.7% | +0.6% |

## Sources

- country-guide.ca: https://www.country-guide.ca/daily/australia-could-pose-less-competition-to-canadian-growers-in-2026-27/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.