# Australia’s 2026-27 winter crop seen slipping | World Grain

> World Grain reports ABARES forecasts Australia's 2026-27 winter area at 23.6 million hectares, down 7%, with wheat output falling 26% to 26.7 million tonnes. Barley area is set to rise 4% to 5 million hectares on strong prices and lower fertiliser needs. ABARES warns of downside risk from fertiliser supply and a drier winter.

- Date: 2026-06-02 · published 2026-06-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18773-australia-s-2026-27-winter-crop-seen-slipping-world-grain
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A 26% drop in Australian wheat output, well below recent averages, removes a major export supply and supports world wheat prices. Fertiliser supply risks could push output lower still.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-06-05 | [Australian winter crops poised for strong year \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24168-australian-winter-crops-poised-for-strong-year-world-grain.md) | -1.4% | -0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2025-04-29 | [Australia’s grain crops forecast upbeat \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25088-australia-s-grain-crops-forecast-upbeat-world-grain.md) | +2.1% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2023-12-06 | [Australian winter crops lag from previous year \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32665-australian-winter-crops-lag-from-previous-year-world-grain.md) | -3.5% | +1.1% |
| WHEAT | 2024-01-23 | [Focus on Australia \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32084-focus-on-australia-world-grain.md) | -0.1% | -5.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-07-11 | [Dry weather affecting Australian wheat crop \| World-grain.com \| July 11, 2018 12:26 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63984-dry-weather-affecting-australian-wheat-crop-world-grain-com-july-11-2018-12-26.md) | +3.2% | +8.9% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/22822-australias-2026-27-winter-crop-seen-slipping

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.