# COCERAL revises EU grains output lower | World Grain

> COCERAL's third 2026 forecast puts the EU-27 plus UK total grain crop at 295.5 million tonnes, down from 298.8 million in March and 311.3 million last year. Wheat excluding durum was raised to 143.7 million tonnes, while corn was cut to 57.2 million tonnes on shrinking acreage of 7.8 million hectares. Barley was trimmed to 58.8 million tonnes.

- Date: 2026-06-11 · published 2026-06-11T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Europe · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18756-coceral-revises-eu-grains-output-lower-world-grain
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller EU corn crop and lower total grain output reduce exportable supply and support corn prices, while the higher wheat forecast limits the rally in wheat.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-10-01 | [COCERAL lowers EU grain output forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17429-coceral-lowers-eu-grain-output-forecast.md) | -1.4% | -6.4% |
| CORN | 2019-09-20 | [Coceral sees higher E.U. grain output \| 2019-09-20  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57023-coceral-sees-higher-e-u-grain-output-2019-09-20-world-grain.md) | +1.7% | +4.4% |
| CORN | 2020-09-25 | [Projected grains output in EU lowered again \| 2020-09-25  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51062-projected-grains-output-in-eu-lowered-again-2020-09-25-world-grain.md) | +3.9% | +8.6% |
| CORN | 2018-09-19 | [COCERAL revises E.U. crop forecast downward \| 2018-09-19  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62960-coceral-revises-e-u-crop-forecast-downward-2018-09-19-world-grain.md) | +4.5% | +6.5% |
| CORN | 2018-08-10 | [Brazil corn output revised downward \| 2018-08-10  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63377-brazil-corn-output-revised-downward-2018-08-10-world-grain.md) | -7.5% | -9.1% |
| WHEAT | 2017-09-22 | [COCERAL lowers E.U. 2017-18 grain crop estimate \| World-grain.com \| September 22, 2017 13:50 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68915-coceral-lowers-e-u-2017-18-grain-crop-estimate-world-grain-com-september-22.md) | -6.9% | +3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2017-03-30 | [World grain output expected to fall as record 2016 harvest weighs on prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72022-world-grain-output-expected-to-fall-as-record-2016-harvest-weighs-on-prices.md) | +0.4% | +1.2% |
| WHEAT | 2024-04-11 | [Strategie Grains still sees lower EU wheat crop despite Spain boost](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30695-strategie-grains-still-sees-lower-eu-wheat-crop-despite-spain-boost.md) | -0.9% | -0.5% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/22858-coceral-revises-eu-grains-output-lower

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.