# Fair yield outlook maintained for winter crops - Joint Research Centre

> The EU Joint Research Centre's June MARS bulletin says growing conditions across Europe remain generally favourable, with EU winter crop yields forecast just above the five-year average but below last year. Dry spring weather and a May heatwave cut winter crop prospects in parts of western, central and eastern Europe, and summer crop water stress is rising.

- Date: 2026-06-22 · published 2026-06-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Europe · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18754-fair-yield-outlook-maintained-for-winter-crops-joint-research-centre
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Yields near average but below last year's levels mean EU grain supply is adequate but tighter than 2025, leaving wheat and corn prices broadly steady with some upside risk if the dryness persists.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-18 | [Fair outlook despite water stress  - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19180-fair-outlook-despite-water-stress-joint-research-centre.md) | +0.4% | -4.2% |
| WHEAT | 2023-08-21 | [Little change to mediocre EU crop yield outlook - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34518-little-change-to-mediocre-eu-crop-yield-outlook-joint-research-centre.md) | -2.4% | -3.4% |
| WHEAT | 2024-05-27 | [EU crop yield forecasts remain above the 5-year average despite challenging weather conditions - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30174-eu-crop-yield-forecasts-remain-above-the-5-year-average-despite-challenging.md) | -7.8% | -17.5% |
| WHEAT | 2025-10-27 | [Disappointing summer crop season in the south-east - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22339-disappointing-summer-crop-season-in-the-south-east-joint-research-centre.md) | +3.8% | -1.8% |
| WHEAT | 2024-09-01 | [Preseason maize and wheat yield forecasts for early warning of crop failure](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28671-preseason-maize-and-wheat-yield-forecasts-for-early-warning-of-crop-failure.md) | +3.6% | +14.4% |
| CORN | 2024-05-27 | [EU crop yield forecasts remain above the 5-year average despite challenging weather conditions - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30174-eu-crop-yield-forecasts-remain-above-the-5-year-average-despite-challenging.md) | +0.2% | -1.0% |
| CORN | 2024-09-01 | [Preseason maize and wheat yield forecasts for early warning of crop failure](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28671-preseason-maize-and-wheat-yield-forecasts-for-early-warning-of-crop-failure.md) | +1.2% | +5.1% |
| CORN | 2024-07-16 | [CoBank Maintains Positive Outlook for Ethanol](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29245-cobank-maintains-positive-outlook-for-ethanol.md) | +3.0% | +0.7% |

## Sources

- joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu: https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/jrc-news-and-updates/fair-yield-outlook-maintained-winter-crops-2026-06-22_en

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.