# EUR/USD Price Forecast — Euro (1.1501) Holds 1.15 as Eurozone GDP Doubles Forecast at 0.4% and HICP Hits 2.9%

> EUR/USD traded at 1.1501 after Eurozone second-quarter GDP grew 0.4% against a 0.2% forecast and July HICP rose to 2.9%. The Fed held rates steady with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a hike, and the euro rallied on the data.

- Date: 2026-07-31 · published 2026-07-31T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Eurozone · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18563-eur-usd-price-forecast-euro-1-1501-holds-1-15-as-eurozone-gdp-doubles-forecast
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

A firmer euro and softer dollar tend to lift US-priced feed commodities for overseas buyers, while persistent eurozone energy inflation keeps the ECB hike path in focus.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bearish ▼
- EURUSD: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2023-12-14 | [US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Rally Persists Following Fed and ECB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8303-us-dollar-forecast-eur-usd-rally-persists-following-fed-and-ecb.md) | +1.5% | +1.5% |
| EURUSD | 2021-08-31 | [What Does the Higher Eurozone Inflation Have in Store for the EUR/USD?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45766-what-does-the-higher-eurozone-inflation-have-in-store-for-the-eur-usd.md) | +0.5% | -1.0% |
| EURUSD | 2024-07-29 | [EUR/USD extends upside above 1.0850, eyes on Eurozone GDP, Fed rate decision — Octa](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29487-eur-usd-extends-upside-above-1-0850-eyes-on-eurozone-gdp-fed-rate-decision-octa.md) | +0.5% | +2.9% |
| EURUSD | 2025-11-25 | [EUR/USD Forecast: Advances as US data, dovish Fed signal rate cut](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22154-eur-usd-forecast-advances-as-us-data-dovish-fed-signal-rate-cut.md) | +0.7% | +2.2% |
| EURUSD | 2021-07-30 | [EUR/USD Forecast: Euro US Dollar Exchange Rate Climbs To Three-Week High On Disappointing US GDP](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46297-eur-usd-forecast-euro-us-dollar-exchange-rate-climbs-to-three-week-high-on.md) | -0.4% | -1.1% |
| DXY | 2023-12-14 | [US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Rally Persists Following Fed and ECB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8303-us-dollar-forecast-eur-usd-rally-persists-following-fed-and-ecb.md) | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| DXY | 2021-08-31 | [What Does the Higher Eurozone Inflation Have in Store for the EUR/USD?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45766-what-does-the-higher-eurozone-inflation-have-in-store-for-the-eur-usd.md) | -0.2% | +0.9% |
| DXY | 2024-07-29 | [EUR/USD extends upside above 1.0850, eyes on Eurozone GDP, Fed rate decision — Octa](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29487-eur-usd-extends-upside-above-1-0850-eyes-on-eurozone-gdp-fed-rate-decision-octa.md) | -0.2% | -1.8% |

## Sources

- tradingnews.com: https://www.tradingnews.com/news/euro-breaks-11500-as-ecb-september

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.