# CSIRO predicts well above average national wheat yield

> CSIRO's Wheatcast projects a national median wheat yield of 2.56 tonnes per hectare, well above the 15-year average. The likely range is 2.1 to 3.2 tonnes per hectare.

- Date: 2026-07-22 · published 2026-07-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18309-csiro-predicts-well-above-average-national-wheat-yield
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A well-above-average yield implies a larger Australian crop and more export supply, which weighs on wheat prices. Spring weather could still shift the outcome.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-05-24 | [USDA WASDE predicts $4.70 average wheat price](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59127-usda-wasde-predicts-4-70-average-wheat-price.md) | -12.2% | -6.1% |
| WHEAT | 2024-05-17 | [U.S. grains: CBOT wheat drops as Kansas tour projects above-average crop - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10907-u-s-grains-cbot-wheat-drops-as-kansas-tour-projects-above-average-crop-grainews.md) | +19.4% | +8.4% |
| WHEAT | 2023-08-25 | [French soft wheat crop shows above-average protein -FranceAgriMer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34516-french-soft-wheat-crop-shows-above-average-protein-franceagrimer.md) | -4.8% | -2.3% |
| WHEAT | 2021-06-08 | [Australia winter wheat crop estimate above average  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46544-australia-winter-wheat-crop-estimate-above-average-world-grain.md) | +6.1% | -4.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-01-16 | [EU Cereal Production Climbs As Wheat Yields Surge - Finimize](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26444-eu-cereal-production-climbs-as-wheat-yields-surge-finimize.md) | +0.0% | +2.9% |

## Sources

- farmingahead.com.au: https://www.farmingahead.com.au/cropping/news-analysis/4534493/csiro-predicts-average-national-wheat-yield

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.
