# GIWA sees 22.7Mt crop with 20pc variability on increased area - Grain Central

> The Grain Industry Association of WA forecasts a 22.7 million tonne winter crop on 9.42 million hectares, with a plus or minus 20% margin of error. The association warns that a hot, dry spring could cut yields quickly.

- Date: 2026-07-17 · published 2026-07-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18308-giwa-sees-22-7mt-crop-with-20pc-variability-on-increased-area-grain-central
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A crop near last year's record adds to Australian export supply, which is bearish for wheat and barley. The spring weather risk limits the downside.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-08-11 | [Winter crop set to increase 45pc on last year, but threats remain: Rural Bank - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51558-winter-crop-set-to-increase-45pc-on-last-year-but-threats-remain-rural-bank.md) | +0.9% | +11.7% |
| WHEAT | 2020-06-18 | [Seasonal turnaround drives surge in winter crop production: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52532-seasonal-turnaround-drives-surge-in-winter-crop-production-abares-grain-central.md) | +2.0% | -3.8% |
| WHEAT | 2021-06-07 | [Winter crop area heading towards record high: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46543-winter-crop-area-heading-towards-record-high-abares-grain-central.md) | +1.2% | -2.1% |
| WHEAT | 2021-02-15 | [Winter harvest near record, summer crop on the improve: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48595-winter-harvest-near-record-summer-crop-on-the-improve-abares-grain-central.md) | +9.4% | +9.0% |
| WHEAT | 2025-08-21 | [IGC sees corn output spiking on increased US production \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23356-igc-sees-corn-output-spiking-on-increased-us-production-world-grain.md) | -2.0% | -3.2% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/news/giwa-sees-22-7mt-crop-with-20pc-variability-on-increased-area/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.