# Australian wheat output revised higher | World Grain

> Australian wheat production for 2026-27 is forecast at 31 million tonnes, up 2 million from the prior estimate, according to USDA FAS. The forecast is 14% below the 2025-26 crop of 36 million tonnes, and exports are projected to rise to 24.5 million tonnes.

- Date: 2026-07-28 · published 2026-07-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18304-australian-wheat-output-revised-higher-world-grain
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A larger Australian crop and higher exports add supply to world wheat markets, which is bearish for prices. The El Niño risk to spring rainfall remains a source of upside.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-03-04 | [Australia’s 2019-20 wheat output forecast higher \| 2019-03-04  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60036-australia-s-2019-20-wheat-output-forecast-higher-2019-03-04-world-grain.md) | +0.7% | +5.2% |
| WHEAT | 2022-03-01 | [Australia record grain crop revised even higher \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42224-australia-record-grain-crop-revised-even-higher-world-grain.md) | +10.5% | +22.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-02 | [Australia’s winter crop production revised higher \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20123-australia-s-winter-crop-production-revised-higher-world-grain.md) | +1.6% | +0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-25 | [IGC revises 2026-27 global grain output higher \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18899-igc-revises-2026-27-global-grain-output-higher-world-grain.md) | -0.5% | -0.0% |
| WHEAT | 2025-01-24 | [Solid grain output forecast for Australia \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26457-solid-grain-output-forecast-for-australia-world-grain.md) | +3.9% | +4.7% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/23032-australian-wheat-output-revised-higher

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.