# The forecast for the soft wheat harvest in France has been reduced to 30.8 million tons.

> Argus cut its 2026 French soft wheat forecast to 30.80 million tonnes from 32.29 million in June, based on a survey of cooperatives from July 13 to 17. The estimate assumes an average yield of 6.67 t/ha, 6.5% below the 10-year average, and harvesting is now nearly complete.

- Date: 2026-07-21 · published 2026-07-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region France · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18285-the-forecast-for-the-soft-wheat-harvest-in-france-has-been-reduced-to-30-8
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A forecast 1.2 million tonnes below the ministry's estimate signals a tighter French wheat supply, supporting European and world wheat prices for feed buyers.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-01-02 | [Experts have lowered the forecast for the soft wheat harvest in the EU](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32067-experts-have-lowered-the-forecast-for-the-soft-wheat-harvest-in-the-eu.md) | -2.8% | -2.7% |
| WHEAT | 2024-09-19 | [France lowers soft wheat harvest and export forecasts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28264-france-lowers-soft-wheat-harvest-and-export-forecasts.md) | +11.4% | +5.6% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-13 | [European soft wheat production forecast at 134.5 million tonnes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29700-european-soft-wheat-production-forecast-at-134-5-million-tonnes.md) | -2.1% | -3.6% |
| WHEAT | 2024-10-16 | [France trims soft wheat crop estimate, raises maize forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27790-france-trims-soft-wheat-crop-estimate-raises-maize-forecast.md) | -1.1% | -1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-06 | [Soufflet forecasts France’s wheat crop at 31.5–32 mln tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18286-soufflet-forecasts-france-s-wheat-crop-at-31-5-32-mln-tons.md) | -0.3% | +1.4% |

## Sources

- tridge.com: https://www.tridge.com/news/the-forecast-for-the-soft-wheat-harvest-in-f-shdnwxhr

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.