# France makes only minor cuts to grain and rapeseed crop forecasts despite intense heat

> France's agriculture ministry made only slight cuts to its 2026 crop forecast despite extreme heat, with soft wheat at 32 million tonnes and barley at 11.1 million tonnes, down 6.3%. The rapeseed forecast was held at 4.63 million tonnes, and Germany's grain forecast was cut by 5.6%.

- Date: 2026-07-21 · published 2026-07-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region France · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18284-france-makes-only-minor-cuts-to-grain-and-rapeseed-crop-forecasts-despite
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Modest cuts to French and German grain estimates keep European wheat and barley supplies tighter, supporting prices, while unchanged rapeseed supply limits oilseed meal volatility.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-09-18 | [France cuts soft wheat crop estimate, raises maize forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28262-france-cuts-soft-wheat-crop-estimate-raises-maize-forecast.md) | +11.0% | +5.4% |
| WHEAT | 2018-08-08 | [France's Latest Forecasts Show How Grain Crops Are Feeling The Heat \| ESM Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63467-france-s-latest-forecasts-show-how-grain-crops-are-feeling-the-heat-esm-magazine.md) | -3.0% | +3.0% |
| WHEAT | 2021-07-30 | [A new decline in crop forecasts for the US, Canada and Russia continued to raise wheat prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46103-a-new-decline-in-crop-forecasts-for-the-us-canada-and-russia-continued-to-raise.md) | +1.6% | +2.4% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-25 | [MARS lowered yield forecasts for wheat, corn and rapeseed for the EU](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29697-mars-lowered-yield-forecasts-for-wheat-corn-and-rapeseed-for-the-eu.md) | -2.1% | +4.0% |
| WHEAT | 2024-10-16 | [France trims soft wheat crop estimate, raises maize forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27790-france-trims-soft-wheat-crop-estimate-raises-maize-forecast.md) | -1.1% | -1.6% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/france-makes-only-minor-cuts-to-grain-and-rapeseed-crop-forecasts-despite-intense-heat/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.