# France's wheat production to fall after heatwaves push early harvest - RFI

> France's agriculture ministry forecasts 2026 wheat output at 32 million tonnes, down 4% from 2025, as an early harvest was hit by successive heatwaves. The average yield fell to 6.93 t/ha from 7.42 t/ha despite a 3% increase in planted area.

- Date: 2026-07-17 · published 2026-07-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region France · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18283-france-s-wheat-production-to-fall-after-heatwaves-push-early-harvest-rfi
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller French crop, the EU's largest and one of the world's biggest wheat exports, removes export supply and supports wheat prices for feed buyers.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-08-08 | [Wheat and corn harvests : why the heatwave is causing French production to drop sharply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17841-wheat-and-corn-harvests-why-the-heatwave-is-causing-french-production-to-drop.md) | +0.7% | +8.2% |
| WHEAT | 2024-02-08 | [France Faces Potential Drop to Century’s Lowest Durum Wheat Production Amid Adverse Weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31604-france-faces-potential-drop-to-century-s-lowest-durum-wheat-production-amid.md) | -4.2% | -1.8% |
| WHEAT | 2019-12-02 | [Wet autumn to cut wheat area in France, UK in setback for next harvest \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55525-wet-autumn-to-cut-wheat-area-in-france-uk-in-setback-for-next-harvest-the.md) | -0.7% | -1.9% |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-17 | [Heatwave Poses Risks for French, Spanish Wheat as EU Harvest Nears](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40872-heatwave-poses-risks-for-french-spanish-wheat-as-eu-harvest-nears.md) | -3.4% | -14.3% |
| WHEAT | 2023-12-13 | [France sees fall in winter wheat and barley sowing after rain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32653-france-sees-fall-in-winter-wheat-and-barley-sowing-after-rain.md) | +1.9% | +2.9% |

## Sources

- rfi.fr: https://www.rfi.fr/en/france/20260717-france-s-wheat-production-drops-after-scorching-weather-pushes-early-harvest

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.