# World Bank warns fertilizer prices could surge more than 30% in 2026 if Hormuz disruption persists-China-ASEAN Chamber of Agricultural Commerce

> The World Bank warns global fertiliser prices could rise more than 30% in 2026 if Hormuz disruption continues, with nitrogen seeing the largest increases. Its April outlook projects urea up nearly 60% on average in 2026, with DAP up about 6% and potash up about 12%.

- Date: 2026-07-09 · published 2026-07-09T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18273-world-bank-warns-fertilizer-prices-could-surge-more-than-30-in-2026-if-hormuz
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Potash (KCl)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/POTASH.md)

## Why it matters

A sustained rise in nitrogen, phosphate and potash costs raises the cost of crop production and supports grain prices if farmers cut fertiliser use.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲
- POTASH: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-05-14 | [Fertilizer prices surge as Strait of Hormuz disruptions tighten supplies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19175-fertilizer-prices-surge-as-strait-of-hormuz-disruptions-tighten-supplies.md) | -1.4% | -29.2% |
| UREA | 2025-11-05 | [Global fertilizer prices to surge by 21% in 2025, World Bank warns \| AgriTech Middle East & Africa - Trends in I ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6231-global-fertilizer-prices-to-surge-by-21-in-2025-world-bank-warns-agritech.md) | -2.3% | -10.7% |
| UREA | 2026-10-28 | [WORLD BANK SAYS FERTILIZER PRICES SET TO RISE 14% IN 2026 DUE TO SURGE IN UREA PRICES, RETURNING TO 2025 LEVELS IN 2027 - CGTN](https://feedsoft.ai/events/297-world-bank-says-fertilizer-prices-set-to-rise-14-in-2026-due-to-surge-in-urea.md) | -1.3% | — |
| UREA | 2025-08-20 | [World Bank Projects Higher Fertilizer Prices Into 2026 -](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23634-world-bank-projects-higher-fertilizer-prices-into-2026.md) | -0.8% | -8.5% |
| UREA | 2022-06-30 | [Impacts and Repercussions of Price Increases on the Global Fertilizer Market \| USDA Foreign Agricultural Service](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40878-impacts-and-repercussions-of-price-increases-on-the-global-fertilizer-market.md) | +2.0% | +4.4% |
| DAP | 2026-06-23 | [World Bank warns fertilizer prices could surge more than 30% in 2026 if Hormuz disruption persists — Fertilizer Daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6819-world-bank-warns-fertilizer-prices-could-surge-more-than-30-in-2026-if-hormuz.md) | -4.2% | -0.6% |
| DAP | 2025-11-05 | [Global fertilizer prices to surge by 21% in 2025, World Bank warns \| AgriTech Middle East & Africa - Trends in I ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6231-global-fertilizer-prices-to-surge-by-21-in-2025-world-bank-warns-agritech.md) | +0.2% | -11.9% |
| DAP | 2025-08-20 | [World Bank Projects Higher Fertilizer Prices Into 2026 -](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23634-world-bank-projects-higher-fertilizer-prices-into-2026.md) | -0.2% | -2.8% |

## Sources

- web.cacac.com.cn: https://web.cacac.com.cn/english/article/16031

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.