# Freed-up supplies to keep urea prices low

> Argus expects urea prices to stay near about US$400/t after falling from highs near $900/t, as Chinese exports return and Middle Eastern stockpiles are released through Hormuz. Argus forecasts 6.5 million tonnes of Chinese exports in 2026, up from 4.6 million last year.

- Date: 2026-07-17 · published 2026-07-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18271-freed-up-supplies-to-keep-urea-prices-low
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

Returning Chinese and Gulf supply has balanced the urea market, so prices are likely to stay flat until demand recovers around September or October.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2023-02-06 | [Urea and Ammonia Prices Keep Falling \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11748-urea-and-ammonia-prices-keep-falling-cz-app.md) | -6.5% | -8.3% |
| UREA | 2025-03-24 | [Urea Continues to Fall as Phosphate Prices Surge \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25505-urea-continues-to-fall-as-phosphate-prices-surge-cz-app.md) | -0.6% | +6.6% |
| UREA | 2024-11-11 | [India Tender Pushes Urea Prices Lower \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27320-india-tender-pushes-urea-prices-lower-cz-app.md) | +0.5% | +1.3% |
| UREA | 2024-11-04 | [India's Urea Tender Fails to Revive Prices \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27723-india-s-urea-tender-fails-to-revive-prices-cz-app.md) | -2.0% | -1.9% |
| UREA | 2024-04-29 | [Urea prices test 2023 lows as China weighs up return to global market](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9420-urea-prices-test-2023-lows-as-china-weighs-up-return-to-global-market.md) | -7.7% | -6.1% |

## Sources

- producer.com: https://www.producer.com/markets/urea-prices-expected-to-remain-low/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.