# Iran war: From fertilizer to food crisis? | IFPRI

> An IFPRI analysis says the Iran war has disrupted fertiliser and energy supply chains, with urea prices roughly doubling within weeks after the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz at the end of February 2026. It warns of rising risk of a global food crisis.

- Date: 2026-07-02 · published 2026-07-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18269-iran-war-from-fertilizer-to-food-crisis-ifpri
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Higher fertiliser costs can reduce application and yields in importing countries, which supports grain and oilseed prices over time.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-04-07 | [Fertilizer spike adds up to $35/acre for US corn as Iran crisis bites](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20029-fertilizer-spike-adds-up-to-35-acre-for-us-corn-as-iran-crisis-bites.md) | 0.0% | -10.4% |
| UREA | 2026-03-25 | [Fertilizer prices surge amid Iran war, sparking food security warnings](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20097-fertilizer-prices-surge-amid-iran-war-sparking-food-security-warnings.md) | +2.1% | +11.5% |
| UREA | 2026-07-30 | [Iran War Is Driving a Wave of Demand for CME Fertilizer Futures](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18669-iran-war-is-driving-a-wave-of-demand-for-cme-fertilizer-futures.md) | -4.0% | -1.5% |
| UREA | 2026-04-01 | [The Iran war’s impacts on global fertilizer markets and food production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19643-the-iran-war-s-impacts-on-global-fertilizer-markets-and-food-production.md) | +10.6% | +7.6% |
| UREA | 2023-01-26 | [Global fertilizer shortage is threatening a worldwide food crisis \| Fortune](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5865-global-fertilizer-shortage-is-threatening-a-worldwide-food-crisis-fortune.md) | -15.2% | -20.7% |
| CORN | 2026-04-07 | [Fertilizer spike adds up to $35/acre for US corn as Iran crisis bites](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20029-fertilizer-spike-adds-up-to-35-acre-for-us-corn-as-iran-crisis-bites.md) | -2.5% | +3.0% |
| CORN | 2026-03-25 | [Fertilizer prices surge amid Iran war, sparking food security warnings](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20097-fertilizer-prices-surge-amid-iran-war-sparking-food-security-warnings.md) | -1.0% | -1.2% |
| CORN | 2026-04-01 | [The Iran war’s impacts on global fertilizer markets and food production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19643-the-iran-war-s-impacts-on-global-fertilizer-markets-and-food-production.md) | -1.7% | +1.5% |

## Sources

- ifpri.org: https://www.ifpri.org/blog/iran-war-from-fertilizer-to-food-crisis/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.