# El Nino worsens plight of Asia's rice belt after war price shock - The Business Times

> Dry weather from a strengthening El Niño is hurting rice crops across Asia, including Vietnam, and India's monsoon is about a sixth below normal. Thai rice prices touched an 18-month high and Chicago rough rice futures are up about 40% this year.

- Date: 2026-07-25 · published 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Asia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18248-el-nino-worsens-plight-of-asia-s-rice-belt-after-war-price-shock-the-business
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Asian rice harvests and a weak Indian monsoon tighten the global rice supply and support prices. Higher rice prices may also push buyers toward feed grains.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2023-06-15 | [Asia rice: Vietnam rice prices jump on low supply; traders flag El Nino risks - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6881-asia-rice-vietnam-rice-prices-jump-on-low-supply-traders-flag-el-nino-risks.md) | -0.1% | +0.6% |
| RICE | 2026-06-04 | [Asia rice: Vietnam prices rise on El Nino concerns; Bangladesh rates stay high amid heatwave - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18867-asia-rice-vietnam-prices-rise-on-el-nino-concerns-bangladesh-rates-stay-high.md) | -1.6% | +2.2% |
| RICE | 2023-09-06 | [From rice to palm oil, crop output forecasts for Asia-Pacific lower as El Nino strengthens \| The Straits Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33998-from-rice-to-palm-oil-crop-output-forecasts-for-asia-pacific-lower-as-el-nino.md) | -6.2% | -6.5% |
| RICE | 2026-10-22 | [Asia rice: Indian prices hit more than one-year high on strong rupee, tight supply - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17169-asia-rice-indian-prices-hit-more-than-one-year-high-on-strong-rupee-tight.md) | -0.4% | — |
| RICE | 2023-03-10 | [Shadow of El Nino over growth - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36764-shadow-of-el-nino-over-growth-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +8.0% | +3.9% |
| CORN | 2023-09-06 | [From rice to palm oil, crop output forecasts for Asia-Pacific lower as El Nino strengthens \| The Straits Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33998-from-rice-to-palm-oil-crop-output-forecasts-for-asia-pacific-lower-as-el-nino.md) | -1.3% | -6.5% |
| CORN | 2023-06-02 | [Palm ends 3% higher on stronger rivals, El Nino worries - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7324-palm-ends-3-higher-on-stronger-rivals-el-nino-worries-markets-business-recorder.md) | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| CORN | 2023-05-05 | [‘Developing’ El Nino may hit India’s maize, soya and rice output, says FAO   - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35870-developing-el-nino-may-hit-india-s-maize-soya-and-rice-output-says-fao-the.md) | -0.2% | -7.5% |

## Sources

- businesstimes.com.sg: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/el-nino-worsens-plight-asias-rice-belt-after-war-price-shock

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.