# Brazil coffee faces El Niño headwinds, but crops more resilient

> Abic says El Niño could cut Brazil's record coffee harvest by 15-20%, with heat and irregular rain threatening flowering. Growers are better prepared than in past El Niño years due to irrigation and climate-resistant varieties.

- Date: 2026-07-13 · published 2026-07-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18247-brazil-coffee-faces-el-nino-headwinds-but-crops-more-resilient
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Coffee is not a feed commodity and the article has no direct feed-grain link. It has little effect on the commodities in this feed desk's scope.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2023-12-18 | [El Niño Fuels Crop Issues In Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13605-el-nino-fuels-crop-issues-in-brazil.md) | -1.5% | -3.8% |
| CORN | 2026-10-01 | [Historic El Niño puts Brazil crops at risk as Argentina gains a weather edge](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13420-historic-el-nino-puts-brazil-crops-at-risk-as-argentina-gains-a-weather-edge.md) | -1.2% | -6.7% |
| CORN | 2016-12-16 | [Favorable Rain Boosts Brazil Crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73320-favorable-rain-boosts-brazil-crops.md) | -3.0% | -0.2% |
| CORN | 2023-11-20 | [Brazilian soybean crop faces problems, and replanting could cut future corn area](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13613-brazilian-soybean-crop-faces-problems-and-replanting-could-cut-future-corn-area.md) | -2.1% | +0.7% |
| CORN | 2017-04-21 | [El Niño awaited, more corn for ethanol](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71341-el-nino-awaited-more-corn-for-ethanol.md) | +1.4% | +2.7% |
| SOY | 2023-12-18 | [El Niño Fuels Crop Issues In Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13605-el-nino-fuels-crop-issues-in-brazil.md) | -1.2% | -8.4% |
| SOY | 2026-10-01 | [Historic El Niño puts Brazil crops at risk as Argentina gains a weather edge](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13420-historic-el-nino-puts-brazil-crops-at-risk-as-argentina-gains-a-weather-edge.md) | +0.3% | -5.3% |
| SOY | 2023-01-04 | [Commodities 2023: Soybean derivatives supply under pressure as Argentina, Brazil face headwinds](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8622-commodities-2023-soybean-derivatives-supply-under-pressure-as-argentina-brazil.md) | +1.5% | +2.2% |

## Sources

- streetinsider.com: https://www.streetinsider.com/Reuters/Brazil+coffee+faces+El+Ni%C3%B1o+headwinds%2C+but+crops+more+resilient/26759644.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.