# Australian Dollar holds firm amid hawkish Fed and RBA expectations

> AUD/USD traded near 0.7166 as markets weighed rising Fed and RBA rate-hike expectations. The CME FedWatch Tool showed a 65% probability of a September Fed hike after Warsh's speech. The dollar index fell 0.27% to about 99.41 on Monday, and renewed US-Iran hostilities kept energy inflation risks in focus.

- Date: 2026-08-31 · published 2026-08-31T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18149-australian-dollar-holds-firm-amid-hawkish-fed-and-rba-expectations
- Commodities: [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md), [Australian Dollar (USD per AUD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/AUDUSD.md)

## Why it matters

Fed hike odds support the dollar, which pressures dollar-priced commodities, while renewed Middle East fighting lifts energy costs that feed into fuel and fertilizer. The mix of the two drives near-term commodity pricing.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bullish ▲
- AUDUSD: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2022-10-31 | [Dollar gains on Fed rate hike expectations](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39325-dollar-gains-on-fed-rate-hike-expectations.md) | -0.1% | -2.8% |
| DXY | 2026-08-30 | [Australian Dollar: Fresh Highs Meet a Hawkish Warsh \| Westpac IQ](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18146-australian-dollar-fresh-highs-meet-a-hawkish-warsh-westpac-iq.md) | -0.6% | +1.6% |
| DXY | 2026-08-28 | [Australian Dollar retreats as Warsh’s hawkish tone lifts US Dollar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18151-australian-dollar-retreats-as-warsh-s-hawkish-tone-lifts-us-dollar.md) | -0.2% | +1.7% |
| DXY | 2025-03-01 | [Dollar firms, Aussie steady after RBA's 'hawkish' rate cut](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26335-dollar-firms-aussie-steady-after-rba-s-hawkish-rate-cut.md) | -1.8% | -1.5% |
| DXY | 2026-03-18 | [Dollar, Iran, and Fed Expectations Weigh on Metals - ADM Investor Services](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20073-dollar-iran-and-fed-expectations-weigh-on-metals-adm-investor-services.md) | +0.2% | -1.2% |

## Sources

- mitrade.com: https://www.mitrade.com/au/insights/news/live-news/article-1-2046181-20260901

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.