# All fired up about El Nino | The Star

> Plantation analysts say El Niño's effect on Malaysian palm output will likely lag, with 2026 volumes holding and the supply hit arriving in 2027. Indonesia's B50 mandate would absorb about 35% of its own crude palm oil. Higher prices are expected to benefit upstream producers while raising costs for downstream refiners.

- Date: 2026-08-25 · published 2026-08-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Malaysia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/18017-all-fired-up-about-el-nino-the-star
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Expected tighter supply and B50 demand in 2027 point to higher crude palm oil prices, with refiners facing higher feedstock costs.

## Read by commodity

- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2017-03-14 | [Weak El Nino to have small impact on Asian crops this year \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71913-weak-el-nino-to-have-small-impact-on-asian-crops-this-year-the-star.md) | +1.5% | -5.2% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-04-29 | [Indonesia 2026 crude palm oil output to fall due to El Nino, high fertiliser prices, association says \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19818-indonesia-2026-crude-palm-oil-output-to-fall-due-to-el-nino-high-fertiliser.md) | +2.8% | -1.1% |
| PALMOIL | 2023-11-08 | [Concerns about Supply Disruptions Due to the El Nino Phenomenon and Expectations of Increased Demand Pushing Up Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33280-concerns-about-supply-disruptions-due-to-the-el-nino-phenomenon-and.md) | +2.5% | +0.2% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-04-24 | [Forecast for strong El Niño fans worries about global crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19633-forecast-for-strong-el-nino-fans-worries-about-global-crops.md) | -0.0% | -1.4% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-08-28 | [IOI Corp sees strong FY27 on elevated CPO prices \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4539-ioi-corp-sees-strong-fy27-on-elevated-cpo-prices-the-star.md) | +4.5% | +1.3% |

## Sources

- thestar.com.my: https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2026/08/26/all-fired-up-about-el-nino

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.