# Problems with Russian Black Sea exports are starting to pressure Central Asian grain markets

> Russian grain export problems through the Black Sea, including damage to Novorossiysk terminals, are pushing cheaper Russian wheat and barley overland into Kazakhstan and Central Asia. Kazakh wheat prices fell during August 10-16, and Kazakh barley dropped 5,000 tenge per ton. A weaker ruble adds to Russia's price advantage.

- Date: 2026-08-18 · published 2026-08-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Central Asia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17992-problems-with-russian-black-sea-exports-are-starting-to-pressure-central-asian
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Redirected Russian supply is undercutting Kazakh and Central Asian export prices for both wheat and barley. Importers in the region have more low-cost alternatives, which keeps regional values under pressure.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-02-21 | [Ukraine, Russia ink deal to export grain on Black Sea](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48492-ukraine-russia-ink-deal-to-export-grain-on-black-sea.md) | +0.7% | -0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2024-02-04 | [Turkey to discuss 'new mechanism' for Ukraine Black Sea grain exports with Russia, minister says](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14322-turkey-to-discuss-new-mechanism-for-ukraine-black-sea-grain-exports-with-russia.md) | -1.3% | -9.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-25 | [Russia can restart 80% of Black Sea grain export terminals if attacks stop \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14081-russia-can-restart-80-of-black-sea-grain-export-terminals-if-attacks-stop.md) | -2.9% | -1.8% |
| WHEAT | 2022-03-14 | [Russia gradually resuming wheat exports from Black Sea ports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14503-russia-gradually-resuming-wheat-exports-from-black-sea-ports.md) | -1.8% | +6.6% |
| WHEAT | 2022-11-17 | [Black Sea grain export deal extended, but Russia wants more on fertiliser exports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14436-black-sea-grain-export-deal-extended-but-russia-wants-more-on-fertiliser-exports.md) | +1.0% | -0.5% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/problems-with-russian-black-sea-exports-are-starting-to-pressure-central-asian-grain-markets/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.