# Agriculture production to ease slightly - DAFF

> ABARES forecasts the value of Australian agricultural production to fall 5% to $99.4 billion in 2026-27, with exports down 5% to $76.3 billion. Winter crop output is expected to drop 12% to 61Mt, still the fourth largest on record, while summer crops fall 25%.

- Date: 2026-08-31 · published 2026-08-31T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17872-agriculture-production-to-ease-slightly-daff
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Australian crop and livestock output in 2026-27 tightens export availability modestly, but the forecast is a value outlook with limited direct price impact on feed grains.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-02 | [Agriculture production set to ease amid drier outlook - DAFF](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18769-agriculture-production-set-to-ease-amid-drier-outlook-daff.md) | -0.6% | +1.3% |
| WHEAT | 2019-08-15 | [Agricultural Conservation: A Guide to Programs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57595-agricultural-conservation-a-guide-to-programs.md) | -1.9% | -3.8% |
| WHEAT | 2022-08-10 | [Aquafeed.com \|
   

   
    Global agricultural production projected to increase by 1.1% per year over the next decade](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40109-aquafeed-com-global-agricultural-production-projected-to-increase-by-1-1-per.md) | -0.4% | -11.3% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-12 | [USDA Projects Slightly Lower Brazilian Soybean Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29690-usda-projects-slightly-lower-brazilian-soybean-production.md) | -2.1% | -3.3% |
| WHEAT | 2017-11-23 | [Australia’s agriculture map reveals record production in 2016-17 - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67938-australia-s-agriculture-map-reveals-record-production-in-2016-17-grain-central.md) | -0.1% | +0.4% |

## Sources

- agriculture.gov.au: https://www.agriculture.gov.au/about/news/ag-production-to-ease-slightly

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.