# 5 warning signs that fertilizer prices will stay high

> Farm Progress lists five signals that fertilizer prices will stay high for years, citing the Strait of Hormuz closure and the Russia-Ukraine war. It notes that Hormuz carries about 24% of global ammonia trade and that ammonia prices jumped nearly 40% within weeks. Industry sources say tight supply will persist even if tensions ease.

- Date: 2026-08-04 · published 2026-08-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17865-5-warning-signs-that-fertilizer-prices-will-stay-high
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Persistently high nitrogen and phosphate costs raise production costs for US feed grains and oilseeds, which can support corn, soybean meal and livestock input prices.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-09-01 | [Why higher fertilizer prices are here to stay](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17863-why-higher-fertilizer-prices-are-here-to-stay.md) | +1.7% | +3.9% |
| UREA | 2022-03-22 | [Fertilizer prices are at record highs. Here's what that means](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5512-fertilizer-prices-are-at-record-highs-here-s-what-that-means.md) | +0.4% | -0.7% |
| UREA | 2024-03-21 | [Who’s afraid of high fertilizer prices? \| IFPRI](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31144-who-s-afraid-of-high-fertilizer-prices-ifpri.md) | -0.4% | -19.1% |
| UREA | 2022-03-22 | [CRU comments on all-time high fertilizer prices \| World Fertilizer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42212-cru-comments-on-all-time-high-fertilizer-prices-world-fertilizer.md) | +0.4% | -0.7% |
| UREA | 2021-09-21 | [Food prices poised to surge with fertilizer at highest in years](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45024-food-prices-poised-to-surge-with-fertilizer-at-highest-in-years.md) | +2.7% | +40.3% |
| DAP | 2026-09-01 | [Why higher fertilizer prices are here to stay](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17863-why-higher-fertilizer-prices-are-here-to-stay.md) | +0.3% | +1.6% |
| DAP | 2022-03-22 | [Fertilizer prices are at record highs. Here's what that means](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5512-fertilizer-prices-are-at-record-highs-here-s-what-that-means.md) | +2.1% | 0.0% |
| DAP | 2022-03-22 | [CRU comments on all-time high fertilizer prices \| World Fertilizer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42212-cru-comments-on-all-time-high-fertilizer-prices-world-fertilizer.md) | +2.1% | 0.0% |

## Sources

- farmprogress.com: https://www.farmprogress.com/farm-operations/fertilizer-prices-to-stay-high-for-years-as-middle-east-conflicts-disrupt-global-supply-chains

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.