# El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2026)

> The WMO says El Niño is firmly established and is expected to strengthen to very strong intensity, with near-100% likelihood of persisting through February 2027. It warns a very strong event can shift rainfall and temperatures worldwide and fuel extreme weather.

- Date: 2026-08-26 · published 2026-08-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17828-el-nino-la-nina-update-august-2026
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A strengthening event raises the risk of drought in key producing regions such as India, Southeast Asia, Australia and southern South America, supporting grain, oilseed and palm prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2020-05-28 | [El Niño / La Niña Update (May 2020)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53044-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2020.md) | +1.0% | +1.7% |
| CORN | 2020-08-01 | [July 2020 ENSO update: La Niña Watch!](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52034-july-2020-enso-update-la-nina-watch.md) | -1.4% | +7.2% |
| CORN | 2024-03-28 | [El Niño to La Niña](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31125-el-nino-to-la-nina.md) | -2.0% | -3.8% |
| CORN | 2022-08-18 | [Weekly update - 18 August 2022 - DAFF](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40012-weekly-update-18-august-2022-daff.md) | +0.4% | +3.4% |
| CORN | 2022-10-01 | [September 2022 La Niña update: it’s Q & A time](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39501-september-2022-la-nina-update-it-s-q-and-a-time.md) | +1.0% | +2.9% |
| SOY | 2020-05-28 | [El Niño / La Niña Update (May 2020)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53044-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2020.md) | +1.1% | +2.6% |
| SOY | 2020-08-01 | [July 2020 ENSO update: La Niña Watch!](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52034-july-2020-enso-update-la-nina-watch.md) | -3.0% | +5.9% |
| SOY | 2024-03-28 | [El Niño to La Niña](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31125-el-nino-to-la-nina.md) | -1.0% | -2.5% |

## Sources

- wmo.int: https://wmo.int/resources/publication-series/el-ninola-nina-updates/august-2026

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.