# Oat futures climb nearly $1 as Canadian production drops 20%

> Oat futures rallied nearly $1 during the third quarter and pushed past $4 resistance for the first time in two years. The move followed a roughly 20% drop in Canadian oat production, while U.S. ending stocks remain historically tight.

- Date: 2026-09-25 · published 2026-09-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Canada · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17516-oat-futures-climb-nearly-1-as-canadian-production-drops-20
- Commodities: [Oats](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OATS.md)

## Why it matters

Canada supplies most of the oats the U.S. imports, so a smaller Canadian crop tightens North American supply and supports oat feed prices. Tight U.S. stocks suggest the firmer price trend could persist.

## Read by commodity

- OATS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| OATS | 2024-12-18 | [Canadian Oats Supply, Canadian Farmers See Leaner Times \| Paradigm Futures](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7782-canadian-oats-supply-canadian-farmers-see-leaner-times-paradigm-futures.md) | -8.7% | -3.9% |
| OATS | 2016-11-25 | [Oat prices surge as Canadian output drops following delayed harvest - The Globe and Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73900-oat-prices-surge-as-canadian-output-drops-following-delayed-harvest-the-globe.md) | -7.6% | +0.6% |
| OATS | 2021-09-23 | [CBOT oats climb on supply woes - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45122-cbot-oats-climb-on-supply-woes-agcanada.md) | +4.8% | +19.6% |
| OATS | 2018-08-07 | [US-China Trade War Or European Drought? Oats Futures Rally Anyhow \| Investing.com Canada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63577-us-china-trade-war-or-european-drought-oats-futures-rally-anyhow-investing-com.md) | -1.3% | -10.5% |
| OATS | 2016-11-25 | [Granola lovers beware: Oat costs jump as Canada output drops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73901-granola-lovers-beware-oat-costs-jump-as-canada-output-drops.md) | -7.6% | +0.6% |

## Sources

- farmprogress.com: https://www.farmprogress.com/marketing/oat-futures-climb-nearly-1-as-canadian-production-drops-20-

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.